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Written by Damir Nazarov
While the international community has come up with a Syrian excuse to turn a blind eye to the genocide being committed by the Zionists in Gaza, the remaining juntas and dictators have begun to show strong feelings about the events in Syria.
The rapid developments in Syria have once again caused waves of uncertainty, anxiety and panic, a situation reminiscent of 2011 after the revolution in Egypt. And while a number of autocracies are worried about what is happening, two juntas are more worried: Egypt and eastern Libya.
These places are ruled by a clique of military men, whose management style strongly resembles the former Baathist regime of Assad, however, it is impossible to claim that it is a 100% copy, there are a number of reasons for this, from interaction with the outside world to the economic situation, nevertheless, the mentality and character of the state system of Assad’s Syria, the junta of Egypt and the dictatorship of Haftar can be included in the list of similar regimes. On this topic they converged, closely communicating with each other all these years.
But even Haftar and Sisi have realized Turkey’s growing regional role, with China’s shadow looming behind it. This is underscored by the increased visits of Benghazi businessmen to Ankara and the Egyptian junta has removed hundreds of Muslim Brotherhood figures from its “terrorist list.” However, Assad’s unexpected fall has left North African field marshals greatly frightened, after which it became known that the Court in Egypt ordered 15 people to be included on the terrorist list for five years because of their links to the Muslim Brotherhood movement, and Haftar’s forces took in some of the fugitives from the fallen Baath government. In this way, the juntas of Egypt and Libya are showing that in the event of an uprising or revolution in their country, and in the case of Haftar, in the territories under his control, there will be no smooth transfer of power.
In this case, we observe a paradox in the behavior of military dictators: on the one hand, they seem to be ready for internal dialogue with the opposition and are taking symbolic steps in this direction, opening cooperation with Turkey, but on the other hand, the “Assad effect” has greatly frightened the Sisi-Haftar tandem, which is why they have taken a number of ambiguous steps that are worsening the internal dialogue with the opponents of the juntas.
In my opinion, Sisi and Haftar’s fears are not even connected with the uprising of Islamic fundamentalists in Egypt or a new military campaign by the Tripoli government in the east of Libya, similar to the movement of the Syrian opposition after Aleppo. I am sure that the field marshals of Egypt and Libya are afraid of internal betrayal, which could be carried out by their inner circle, including generals and heads of special services.
Contrary to the opinion of the imperialists, the Syrian story will certainly not become a catalyst for chaos and civil strife in the Middle East, and perhaps an example of bloodless “revolutions”.
P.S. The first concerns for the Egyptian junta have already begun to manifest themselves. A certain Ahmed Mansour, who had earlier joined the fight against the Assad regime, created the “January 25 Revolution” movement, the goal of which is to overthrow the Sisi junta.
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