Illustrative Image
Written by Eric Zuesse
Recently, tensions have been rising between, on the one hand, America, and on the other, both Russia and China. A nuclear war that includes the United States would destroy the entire world, because it would be not only nuclear, but major-power nuclear, which would entail so many nuclear explosions (perhaps all within less than an hour), so that nuclear winter would extend over not only all of the northern hemisphere, but probably also over all of the southern hemisphere (though more slowly there). Unfortunately, no scientific study has been published analyzing what the result would be of such a war, but studies have been published of likely outcomes from minor-power nuclear wars, and the results have indicated nearly as catastrophic outcomes as I’ve summarily indicated here for a major-power nuclear war.
The culminating public event displaying that a U.S. backdown has occurred would be Biden’s granting Putin’s bottom-line red line (which, if not granted but instead crossed, would precipitate a Russian attack against the U.S.), committing the U.S. to never crossing that line, and this back-down would consist of a mutually accepted and implemented agreement regarding Ukraine and its two break-away regions (the currently independent Donbas, and Russian Crimea). In the case of China, Biden would also need to grant Xi’s bottom-line red line, which would be for Biden publicly to accept the 28 February 1972 U.S.-China agreement called the “Shanghai Communique”, in which the U.S. Government agreed with China to the promise and commitment that “The United States acknowledges that all Chinese on either side of the Taiwan Strait maintain there is but one China and that Taiwan is a part of China. The United States Government does not challenge that position. It reaffirms its interest in a peaceful settlement of the Taiwan question by the Chinese themselves.” However, there would also need to be an addendum made to the Shanghai Communique, to the effect that if the Government of Taiwan refuses to publicly and officially acknowledge that it is part of China — no longer a colony of Japan, such as it had been during 1895-1945 (and it had been a province of China during 1683-1895), and also not a separate (i.e., independent) nation — then the United States will not oppose a militarily imposed restoration of Taiwan as being a Chinese province.
The Shanghai Communique goes considerably further than that, however, to commit the U.S. Government to never doing some other things that, during the past decade, the U.S. Government has increasingly blatantly violated (done); and, so, the three most crucial Shanghai Communique commitments regarding Taiwan will be specifically quoted here (and one of them has just been quoted but will be quoted again, in the context of the other two, so that readers may more clearly recognize the blatancy with which the U.S. Government has recently been violating the Shanghai Communique):
“the two sides agreed that countries, regardless of their social systems, should conduct their relations on the principles of respect for the sovereignty and territorial integrity of all states, nonaggression against other states, noninterference in the internal affairs of other states, equality and mutual benefit, and peaceful coexistence.”
“Both sides are of the view that it would be against the interests of the peoples of the world for any major country to collude with another against other countries, or for major countries to divide up the world into spheres of interest.”
“The U.S. side declared: The United States acknowledges that all Chinese on either side of the Taiwan Strait maintain there is but one China and that Taiwan is a part of China. The United States Government does not challenge that position. It reaffirms its interest in a peaceful settlement of the Taiwan question by the Chinese themselves. With this prospect in mind, it affirms the ultimate objective of the withdrawal of all U.S. forces and military installations from Taiwan.”
For the United States to accept either of those two red lines — Russia’s and/or China’s — (i.e., to agree that the U.S. accepts it, and will not oppose it), would be for the U.S. to back down in order to avoid a WW III. In other words: it would display the U.S. Government’s current decision that its #1 national-security goal isn’t to expand its current empire, but to avoid any WW III (avoid any U.S. war against either Russia or China).
This now seems likely to happen regarding Russia’s red line, as was indicated by Russia’s RT News on October 13th, under the headline “Kremlin says US & Russia agree Ukraine must give Donbass special autonomous status”. That would be Biden’s granting compliance with Putin’s bottom-line red line regarding Donbass. The next day, RT headlined “Strained relations between US & Russia could soon be on mend, Moscow says”. It stated that, after meeting with Kremlin officials in Moscow, “Victoria [Nuland] took with her to Washington a rather long list of those issues that were identified by the Russian side for the need to resolve them as soon as possible.” Nuland is the queen of the neoconservatives (or U.S. imperialists, or “super-hawks,” or “MIC darlings”), and had been sent to Moscow in order to push as hard as possible to get concessions from Russia. She was previously instrumental in the 2014 U.S. coup against Ukraine that captured Ukraine for military training and aid, and potential inclusion in the EU and in NATO — which coup (that she principally organized) actually sparked the current active restoration of the U.S.-Russia Cold War. This is probably why Biden chose her for that assignment. (It’s like sending a victim’s torturerer to find out what what the victim needs.) Whether Biden will decide in accord with her recommendations is unknown. If he does, then he will be continuing with President Obama’s plan (that she had designed) to ultimately place U.S. missiles on Ukraine’s border with Russia, so as to achieve “Nuclear Primacy”: the ability for the U.S. to destroy Moscow within less than ten minutes — too short a time for Russia to launch any retaliation. This would also indicate that China likewise is in severe jeopardy; it would warn China that it needs to presume the worst about the U.S. Government’s intentions.
If the United States will not comply, then one possible result would be that Russia and China will, then, jointly, and publicly, announce that any invasion against either, will be dealt with as constituting an invasion against both.
On the other hand, if Biden caves regarding Russia, then China, too, would likewise be much safer. For him to cave would be for him to accept not only that Ukraine must comply with the Minsk accords regarding Donbass, and that Crimea (which the Soviet Union’s dictator had arbitrarily transferred from Russia to Ukraine in 1954) is a province of Russia, but also that Taiwan is a province of China. (If Biden were to comply with Russia’s demand but not with China’s, then his subsequently invading China would almost certainly be met by Russian forces, and not only by Chinese ones, and thus America will likely experience yet another defeat — or else the entire world will, by means of a nuclear war between superpowers.) If he won’t agree with at least those three requirements (red lines), then avoiding WW III will be unlikely, if not impossible. That refusal would indicate the U.S. Government’s placing higher priority upon expanding yet further its empire, than upon avoiding a global nuclear war.
Neither Russia nor China will accept being a part of the U.S. empire. The question now is whether or not the U.S. Government will finally accept that fact. For it to do so would violate all U.S. international policy since FDR died on 12 April 1945. This would be a turning-point in world history — the apogee of the American empire, which was first imposed by Truman and Eisenhower (mainly via coups). But, so, too, would Biden’s continuing forward with the Nuland-led Obama policy on Ukraine produce the apogee, which then would mean WW III (effectively, the end of human history). The American empire might end by the U.S. Government’s accepting that it’s downhill from here on, and the empire’s gradually fading away. Or else, it will end with WW III. This is the choice that now faces Biden. That decision will probably come under this President — and maybe very soon.
On October 15th, the highly informed and extraordinarily honest analyst of geostrategic diplomatic affairs, Alexander Mercouris, headlined “Nuland’s Moscow Trip Ends with Disagreement on All issues, Russia Considers Freezing Relations with US”, and he provided an extensive description of the results from Nuland’s negotiations this past week in Moscow with the Kremlin (and of the U.S. news-media’s virtual blacking-out of even the fact that she was there — and the little U.S. coverage that there was, was mocking Russia, and presented nothing of what the Russian negotiators had said, but only what Russia’s enemies were saying, such as “Apparently, Moscow’s misogynists would rather not deal with a woman at all”). Mercouris’s take on the matter was that Biden will likely continue doing what Nuland and other extreme neoconservatives against Russia want to be done. If Mercouris is correct, then we’re now at the brink of WW III. But whether that war would start against Russia, or against China, one can only guess.
If this sounds crazy, WW I also started as being crazy, and the publics in the respective combatting countries were kept in the dark about everything except the propaganda. The publics overwhelmingly believe the propaganda, no matter how consistently it has subsequently become documented to have been based on lies. For example: this news-report is being simultaneously submitted to virtually all news-media in the U.S. and allied countries. Let’s see how many of them publish it. After all: it’s definitely not propaganda. Everything in it is documented via the links, all of which are to extraordinarily relevant and reliable sources. Propaganda does not do that. But few people even notice this. That’s how imperialists routinely get away with mass-murders, such as in Iraq, Syria, and Ukraine.
Investigative historian Eric Zuesse is the author of They’re Not Even Close: The Democratic vs. Republican Economic Records, 1910-2010, and of CHRIST’S VENTRILOQUISTS: The Event that Created Christianity.
Reality has long been ignored by the dumbed down majority of Western populations.
Whereas the populations of Russia and China still have the living memory of the millions deaths and the abject misery of living under the boots of the bolshevik super rich cult of ‘Greed for me, and mass Graves for thee .
It doesn’t matter.
The U.S. is falling apart, socially, morally, economically, militarily.
They are already outgunned.
The only question is will they do a kamikaze run or go silently into the night with some dignity.
Either way its a lose lose situation for them.
They will do anything to squeeze the last drop of profit from the people, the system, and the world.
An American never give up. We pretend to back, but in reality we go forward.
When everybody think we got soft, we have hardened. When you think we lost, we won instead.
When everybody thought we now are out, we were in there all the time…………………….LOL.
Blackstone has China by the balls, and our Space Command Lasers can take out anything in Russia in a split-second, and you know it.
But first we speak softly and THEN, we take Berlin………………………………………….LOL.
There will not be a world war 3 since all these governments are controlled from the same point.
The war in Revelations is a united world government against the returning Christ and his army.
– Speaking to a group of college students on 2 April, 2003, former CIA Director Woolsey revealed, “…the United States is engaged in World War IV, and that it could continue for years.” Woolsey described the Cold War as the third world war. He then said “This fourth world war, I think, will last considerably longer than either World Wars I or II did for us. Hopefully not the full four-plus decades of the Cold War.” (Wikipedia: R. James Woolsey, Jr.)
I would suggest World War 3 has been active for some time. It just has not reached its conclusion. Whether the start of the latest sequence of wars is considered to be 1999 or 2001, many analysts identify the following sequence of wars as linked (even being openly admitted as a defined neoconservative agenda). Even Sergei Lavrov stated his belief it was unfolding, involving the US-allied bloc targeting nations in a sequential format and waging ‘war by other means’ (hybrid warfare, engineering of colour revolutions, economic warfare, proxy warfare, cyber warfare, etc.).
– “if data on Russia-NATO power balance at the Western direction is analyzed, as well as military activity build-up rate at our borders, scale of combat equipment deployment, if the grade of Russia’s demonization is estimated, one can say that preparation to a real war is taking place. [Such] acts are usually undertaken at the forefront of a war [and it is evident] the US is preparing for a [potential] nuclear conflict……” [Colonel General Leonid Ivashov, President of the International Centre of Geopolitical Analysis]
– “Russia does not want war and does not intend to start a war. But today, Russia can see that the explosion of a global war is almost unavoidable and is prepared and will continue preparing. Russia does not want a war but is not afraid of a war. Those who get Russia involved in this process will learn the real meaning of pain”.” [Vladimir Putin] (At the Threshold of a Third World War, Southfront, 12/09/2016),
The US-NATO bloc is replicating the aggressive militarism of other powers in recent history. The eventual outcome is likely to be the same (world war). Indeed, the various active and approaching wars (of aggression) the US-NATO-allied bloc are globally expanding towards being recognised as one. While the prevention of a direct kinetic stage of conflict between Russia and the US-NATO-allied bloc remains a priority (this concept also applying to the policy of the PRC), situations of war are nonetheless approaching as US-NATO bloc objectives translate to eventual scenarios of war. As the structure of US-NATO bloc military activity is associated with preparations for such large-scale conflicts, Russia is also quietly preparing. It is in this context that the enhancement of military cooperation between China and Russia is prudent (for all potential scenarios) as unwanted situations of war are likely approaching:
Note: Due to the levels of retribution that would occur, many of the Zionists (who will be identified as responsible) who may survive a nuclear war event will wish they had not. This would include the political class, their advisors, policy institutes, media (the propaganda arm), etc. They would understand (and experience) there are situations worse than death. If I am wrong they have little cause for fear. If I am correct (and I am comfortable and confident that I am), they will have cause for concern. They will not have too long to wait to find out.
Absurd american provocations are designed for the dullards in the west. Russia & China understand these ridiculous western actions.
No real nation takes america or britain seriously anymore. Their hidden “leadership” have been exposed as lib tard perverts and pathetic degenerates.
See epstein, maxwell, “prince” andrew , bill gates etc. All thrown under the bus without a second thought to protect the real .001℅.
I hope I live to see the day that all my NYT reading friends finally realize that there really was an American/Western Empire just as it comes to it’s end.
If all your friends read the nyt, you need a new group of friends. The MSM from the west is the worst cancer on earth, along with their corporate social media, starting with fb, twitter, microsoft etc.
The globally expanding wars of the US-NATO-allied bloc have progressed to an intensifying hybrid warfare domain targeting China, Russia, Iran, the DPRK, etc.. In time the many active and approaching wars of this bloc will likely be recognised as one.
The correlation between features of Zionism and Fascism is the basis of the replication of former behaviours. Indeed, Zionism and Fascism are related ideologies that developed in the same era and share similar features. Interestingly, Western (Zionist) MSM have adopted (WW2) German propaganda techniques in addition to its aggressive militarism (evident in the sequential globally expanding wars of aggression). The eventual outcome is likely to be the same (a situation of world war).
The concept of Western democracies gradually transitioning to militarism and in the process fascism has been addressed by many analysts, being the logical product of such governments seeking ever more power. But as the Zionists (and their aligned ideologues) would be held responsible for the likely approaching horror (being the conclusion of the latest gradually unfolding world war, this time occurring in a nuclear era), they will have more to fear what will follow the initial horror (if they were to survive).
Note: A potential worst case scenario (if it were to in time occur) does not translate to human extinction. For example:
– “Even a full-scale thermonuclear exchange between Russia and the US is patently survivable. The theory of “nuclear winters”, at least in its wilder variants (drops of many tens of degrees), has been long discredited….. Fallout radiation levels decay rapidly, and it will be safe to emerge from shelters almost everywhere after just two weeks. Most rural areas and many small towns would be almost unaffected, at least directly….. There will be a modest global cooling, and a collapse of the global economy.” (Let’s War-Game What a Real Russia / China / US Escalation Might Look Like, Anatoly Karlin, 17/04/2018)
However it is self-evident it would eclipse previous wars. The Russian Federation is correct to be quietly preparing for this unwanted (but increasingly probable) scenario. The development of integrated operational plans for various scenarios (including a worst case event) between Russia and China would be prudent.