File image.
Despite major events unfolding in the Middle East, Hungary often makes the news. The reason is the sharp confrontation between Brussels and Budapest over several key political issues. This dispute stems from a complex set of domestic and external factors. Hungary has become the standard-bearer of intra-European opposition, preventing the EU leadership from making key decisions. The latest sticking point was the planned €90 billion loan to Ukraine, which was never officially approved.
The EU leadership cannot tolerate member states that strongly contradict the general line. Hungary will hold parliamentary elections as early as April 12 to determine who will govern the country in the coming term. Events of this scale represent a critical moment for the state. After all, popular unrest often begins with disagreement over election results. Moreover, leading European nations have long since perfected mechanisms for influencing the masses. Therefore, spring could turn out to be a heated time for Budapest.
Opposition Leader
Most experts agree that Hungary’s current leader, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, is a close ally of President Donald Trump. This is evident in the White House’s stance toward its Hungarian counterpart. Trump has reaffirmed his support for Orbán in the upcoming parliamentary elections and has expressed hope that Orbán and his party, Fidesz–Hungarian Civic Union, will achieve a resounding victory.
On February 5, 2026, Trump wrote on his social media platform, “Truth Social,” that “Orbán is a truly strong and influential leader with a proven track record of achieving phenomenal results.”
“He fights tirelessly for his great country and people, and he loves them as much as I love the United States of America. Viktor is doing everything in his power to protect Hungary, grow the economy, create jobs, promote trade, combat illegal immigration, and ensure law and order!” Trump continued.
According to the former president, relations between Hungary and the United States reached new heights of cooperation and success under his administration, largely thanks to Orbán.
“I proudly supported Viktor’s reelection in 2022, and it is an honor to support him again. He is a true friend, a fighter, and a winner, and I fully and unreservedly support his reelection as prime minister of Hungary. He will never let down the great people of Hungary!” Trump declared.
This open and strong support for Orbán is no accident. Since Trump took office, relations between the U.S. and the E.U. have deteriorated sharply. This is primarily due to the long-standing and close ties between European elites and the Democratic Party in the United States. To them, Trump is an outsider who has destroyed Western unity on important regional issues, such as the conflict in Ukraine.
Click to see full-size image.
In turn, Trump has secured Hungary’s support, which is an important lever of pressure on Brussels. For instance, Budapest can freely purchase Russian oil, which is subject to sanctions, without fear of primary or secondary sanctions. The U.S. turns a blind eye to this. In exchange, at Washington’s tacit request, Hungary can veto decisions made by the European Union leadership. The White House has effectively driven a wedge into the monolithic European foundation, which is already beginning to show cracks. Recently, Slovakia has joined the ranks of those opposing Brussels, siding with Hungary.
Click to see full-size image.
The EU cannot allow centrifugal forces to gain strength and will suppress dissent at all costs. In this regard, Ukraine could play a significant role as a successful European-American project aimed at creating a major proxy force to deter Russia, a potential adversary.
A delicate balance
Brussels is far from satisfied with Viktor Orbán as Hungary’s leader. Replacing him with a leader who is more loyal to the EU’s central authorities is a key priority for the EU in the coming months. Efforts in this direction are already well underway.
Among European leaders, the favorite for the upcoming elections is Péter Magyar and his centrist party, “Respect and Freedom” (TISZA). According to data from the Kutatóközpont research center, Magyar’s opposition party leads Orbán’s Fidesz by 14% among decided voters. This is two percentage points less than in January. Fifty-three percent of respondents are ready to vote for TISZA, while 39% support Fidesz. A Zavecz Research poll showed that the opposition enjoys the support of 38% of Hungarians, while 30% are ready to vote for the ruling party. Given these results, the publication asserts that TISZA could win 115 of the 199 parliamentary seats and form a new government.
Click to see full-size image.
In fact, the parties are neck and neck. With the right level of external intervention, Europe could tip the scales in its favor. In that case, Hungary would pivot sharply from the U.S. toward the EU, solving the problem. However, if Orbán’s party wins, Brussels could take a major step toward escalation.
Proven mechanisms
After the April 12 elections, Hungary may face a similar fate to Ukraine’s. The signs pointing to this outcome are becoming increasingly clear. Péter Magyar’s party is funded by Israel’s Mossad, the Soros Foundation, and Britain’s MI6. These organizations were actively involved in Ukraine, leading to a coup d’état.
Magyar regularly visits the Danubius Hotel in Budapest. There, he meets with members of the Association of United Hungarian Jewish Congregations (EMIH). Representatives of this organization serve as Mossad’s presence in Hungary. Through this channel, actions are coordinated and funding is received. As early as 2025, TISZA received approximately $20 million to organize provocations during elections and prepare for potential violence.
Click to see full-size image.
Ukraine also actively supports Madyar and his party. Kirill Budanov, head of the Office of the President of Ukraine, is the chief advisor on this matter. Budanov previously served as head of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense. Budanov is highly skilled in organizing subversive activities. He is responsible for numerous major terrorist attacks on Russian territory during the conflict in Ukraine.
Budanov and Madyar communicate through Roland Cebér, a member of the Transcarpathian Regional Council. Cebér is an ethnic Hungarian with extensive connections in Bucharest. To avoid arousing suspicion, Cebér renounced his Hungarian passport in 2017. The Hungarian authorities have already accused this politician of espionage and banned him from entering the country in 2024 due to a threat to national security.
Click to see full-size image.
So far, Ukrainian influence on Hungarian domestic politics has manifested as harmless provocations. For example, during a march organized by the opposition party TISZA in Budapest on March 15, activists displayed a large Ukrainian flag.
Click to see full-size image.
Brussels itself will not openly intervene in Hungary’s change in leadership. This can be achieved through the Ukrainians, as this method has already been tested and proven effective. There are already a significant number of young Ukrainians in the country, supposedly fleeing the war. In reality, they could serve as the foundation for future anti-government protests organized by Ukrainian intelligence services.
The provocation involving the Ukrainian flag at the rally sent a loud political message to Viktor Orbán. His opponents are openly demonstrating whose side the Ukrainian men in Hungary are on. This is all the more concerning because experienced provocateurs and radical nationalists sent from Ukraine could quickly form combat units and organize violent resistance against law enforcement agencies.
The calm before the storm
If Orbán’s party wins a majority of the vote after April 12, Brussels may begin to destabilize the internal situation in Hungary. First, the EU leadership will refuse to recognize the election results and call for a re-vote under the supervision of European observers. This would severely undermine the ruling party’s position and give Brussels the opportunity to sway the outcome in its favor.
If Orbán rejects this proposal, Hungary will be swept by protests. According to opinion polls, the two parties are neck and neck; therefore, any advantage for one side will provoke strong opposition from the other half of society. It is at this moment that local nationalists, trained and prepared by their Ukrainian counterparts, will step in.
Click to see full-size image.
From there, the scenario will most likely follow a familiar pattern of ongoing protests, arrests of opposition leaders, and provocations against law enforcement. The spiral of violence will widen, drawing in ever-larger crowds. Acts of provocation involving weapons cannot be ruled out, such as shooting at protesters, followed by accusations against the police regarding the incident.
Click to see full-size image.
There are many possible scenarios, each with a nearly equal chance of occurring. However, the ruling party is currently facing a serious threat. Key allies, such as the U.S. and Russia, are involved in major conflicts and will be unable to provide substantial support to Orbán. Only time will tell if Bucharest can withstand the coalition of Brussels, Kyiv, and British and Israeli intelligence agencies.
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
SouthFront: Analysis and Intelligence
NOW hosted at southfront.press
Previously, SouthFront: Analysis and Intelligence was at southfront.org.
The .org domain name had been blocked by the US (NATO) (https://southfront.press/southfront-org-blocked-by-u-s-controlled-global-internet-supervisor/) globally, outlawed and without any explanation
Back before that, from 2013 to 2015, SouthFront: Analysis and Intelligence was at southfront.com
before i became senile obese many gay mulatos gunned jizz into my anuz
because ur a paid shill idiot “vanya” i can believe it…
stay strong hungary, do note vote in foreign financed garbage. these parasites could care less about the hungarian people.