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Written by Eric Zuesse
Alexander Mercouris is a commentator on international affairs whose predictions I have been keeping track of for a long time, and they thus-far have a shocking 100% record of subsequent confirmation (accuracy). Nobody else comes close to that, except the anonymous author of the “Moon of Alabama” blog. Almost always, those two have been predicting the same things at the same times, independently of each other; and, since MoA has almost always been predicting the same outcomes that Mercouris has (though often on the basis of evidence that isn’t quite as reliable), MoA’s record is almost as good. They both agree on the following:
Russia will win its war against Ukraine.
Turkey will have to support Russia on any matter where America’s anti-Russian military alliance, NATO (of which Turkey is a member and therefore possesses a geostrategically crucial veto-power within NATO), poses a real threat against Russia’s national sovereignty; that is, where America poses the potential to become empowered to make dictats to Russia regarding Russia’s domestic policies and its foreign relations (in other words: to make Russia into a U.S. vassal-nation like America’s existing allies are).
Russia will have to accommodate Turkey’s needs, because Turkey controls the two straits, both the Bosphorus and the Dardanelles, that control ship-access between the Black Sea and the Atlantic Ocean (via the Mediterranean Sea), which two passageways are crucial to Russia’s national security.
On June 8th, a video by Mercouris headlined “Military collapse in north Donbass. Turkey & Russia move closer together as EU crumbles”, and cited his evidence that the present moment constitutes a turning-point in which America’s global power has declined so much, and that Russia’s global power has increased so much, so that Turkey will — at least for as long as Tayyip Erdogan continues to lead Turkey — exercise its veto-power within America’s anti-Russian alliance, NATO, whenever doing so will boost not only Turkey’s national security but boost Russia’s national security.
This is a radical break away from the past, when the U.S. Government was so powerful as to be able to get all of NATO’s members to vote in unison favorably toward any proposal that would pose an additional threat against Russia’s national security.
Consequently, yet another U.S. coup-attempt against Erdogan is likely.
Mercouris discussed there, with his interviewer and friend Alex Christaforu, the effort by John Bolton and his financial backers to precipitate another coup-attempt in Turkey. On 27 August 2018, America’s AP bannered “In Familiar Dance, Turkey Warms to Russia As US Ties Unravel”, and reported that, “Relations between Turkey and Russia are cozy, prompting worries in the West of a potentially critical rift in the NATO alliance. But Turkey’s president may be engaged in a balancing act, tactically turning to Russia as ties with the United States further deteriorate.” Then, on 11 April 2019, Vox headlined “How America’s relationship with Turkey fell apart”, and (as is done in virtually all U.S. media) implicitly assumed that the U.S. regime was on the good side, and that any resisting Government (in this case, Turkey) is on the bad side, in any dispute; but, except for such false assumptions, its explicit statements were accurate, and sufficed to make clear the fact that “Ankara’s recent actions have blown a hole in the center of their alliance” (without Vox’s noting that the same was also true of Washington’s actions), and that “as this divorce happens, America’s ability to work with Turkey in the Middle East and Europe will continue to dwindle — meaning US influence there, at least somewhat, degrades.”
However, actually, it’s far more significant than that: it is nothing less than a major part of the historical turning-point ending America’s dominance over international relations.
In the present instance, Mercouris’s video provides the specifics and the broader context. But also on June 7th, Britain’s Economist headlined a stunning new specific on this, “Russia is pumping more oil to Europe than it was before the war: Refiners are cashing in on cheap Urals crude”, and reported that
The eu’s ban on Russian oil, agreed on May 31st, is off to an unpromising start. Since Russia invaded Ukraine in February, the amount of its oil pumped into the bloc has been increasing. It rose by 14% between January and April, from 750,000 to 857,000 barrels per day, according to Argus Media, a publisher. The embargo applies only to seaborne crude and petroleum products, for now covering just 75% of imports from Russia. Oil supplied by pipeline to a handful of countries in central and eastern Europe is temporarily exempt — a concession to Hungary, which had been blocking the agreement. Refiners in these countries are snapping up cheap Russian crude that most Western buyers are shunning.
That oil has mainly come via the Druzhba Pipeline system, extending from Russia’s oil in the Ural Mountans, where European Russia ends and Asian Russia begins; and delivers that oil to Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Denmark, Germany, Slovakia, Czechia, and Hungary. It is the world’s longest oil pipeline and one of the biggest oil pipeline networks in the world.
There are two ways that the U.S. Government can respond to this sea-change in international relations. It can either accept and adjust to it, or else it can refuse to do so and instead use either Ukraine in Europe or Taiwan in Asia so as to try to compel what is now inevitable (the shrinkage of the American empire and the emergence of an Asian-dominated world in which there will no longer be any empires) not to happen. If it accepts what is inevitable, then there will be no WW III. If it instead refuses to accept what is inevitable, then it will have only one way to exercise that option (continued resistance): to invade Russia and China — WW III.
In order for the U.S. Government to accept and adjust to its decline as an international power, it will need to repudiate its existing supremacist ideology (neoconservatism) and expel its proponents from all diplomatic and national-security offices, end the revolving-doors that corrupt those agencies, and socialize their armaments-firms as some other countries have done. The only alternative to that would be WW III, as an attempt to continue the U.S. Government’s global supremacy. Such an attempt would inevitably fail, because it would destroy the world. A person who would attempt such a thing should therefore not be tolerated, but eliminated. The world ought to agree with this, because only then can there be sound reason for hope in the future. Neoconservatives endanger the entire planet. There can be no reason to allow that. None whatsoever.
Unfortunately, however, the U.S. Government’s #1 priority right now is to defeat Russia in Ukraine. Actually, ever since 25 July 1945, conquering Russia has been the U.S. Government’s very top objective. This is how implacably dangerous neoconservatives are. And it’s why they need to be eliminated — in order to prevent WW III.
𝚃𝚑𝚎 𝚄𝚂 𝚌𝚊𝚗 𝚘𝚗𝚕𝚢 𝚋𝚎 𝚍𝚎𝚏𝚎𝚊𝚝𝚎𝚍 𝚖𝚒𝚕𝚒𝚝𝚊𝚛𝚒𝚕𝚢, 𝚒𝚝 𝚌𝚊𝚗 𝚐𝚎𝚗𝚎𝚛𝚊𝚝𝚎 $$ 𝚏𝚛𝚘𝚖 𝚝𝚑𝚒𝚗 𝚊𝚒𝚛 𝚊𝚗𝚍 𝚑𝚊𝚜 𝚋𝚎𝚎𝚗 𝚍𝚘𝚒𝚗𝚐 𝚜𝚘 𝚏𝚘𝚛 𝟻𝟶 𝚢𝚎𝚊𝚛𝚜…𝙰𝚜 𝚕𝚘𝚗𝚐 𝚊𝚜 𝚄𝚂 𝚑𝚊𝚜 𝚝𝚑𝚎 𝚌𝚊𝚙𝚊𝚋𝚒𝚕𝚒𝚝𝚢 𝚝𝚘 𝚠𝚊𝚐𝚎 𝚠𝚊𝚛 𝚊𝚗𝚍 𝚍𝚛𝚞𝚖 𝚞𝚙 𝙴𝚄 𝚜𝚞𝚙𝚙𝚘𝚛𝚝, 𝚒𝚝 𝚠𝚒𝚕𝚕 𝚜𝚝𝚊𝚗𝚍 …
Lets pursue that printing idea. What happens when there is a vast disparity between the dollar supply and the need to hold a dollar, in the international market?
Would there be enough US goods and services to purchase once international trade shifts to other currencies?
Thus there is an existential need for the US to tie down other economies in making dollar payments by purchase, by exchange, or by repayments.
This then leads to an absurd, deeply inequitable, and abusive relation where resources are plundered from the rest of the world for paper. This is the evil side of what the current system is offering to the rest of the world. Only the hegemon and the traitorous elites would protect such a system.
The dollar is the world’s reserve currency. period. Even the Russians and Chinese have a large chunk of their state assets in dollars. Right now. Yes, right now.
This article is make-believe. Asia wont lead anything. They cant even lead themselves. Soon the whole world will deteriorate into war, right alongside with Asia.
You are one very delusional sic puppy,dud! Enjoy your freedom gas,if you can afford it,drr!
analcyst:
There is no question that the corrupt violence prone Jew controlled US illegitimate banana republic built on slavery, genocide, theft, racism, global plunder and sheer hubris is going down the toilet. Asia is indeed the future as any literate person knows. The US was created by Anglo racist imperialist trash whose genocidal policies killed off millions, as many historians wrote, no country has spilled so much blood and destroyed humanity as the US criminals. The sooner the US goes down the tubes, the better for the planet and humanity. The world will be grateful to Russia, China, Iran, Cuba, Venezuela, Mexico and a growing number of independent nations that have brought down the Anglo-Zionist parasites. GOD BLESS RUSSIA & PRESIDENT PUTIN!
I keep saying ,build trumps wall all the way around s the US and tell them to stay behind it. Bazinga world peace.
Or is that just me
You think the USA got away with printing money out of thin air?
There have been more sellers than buyers for $USD the last couple of years and the trend’s accelerating. Sanctions killed the goose … the world has learned to get around the Petrodollar and SWIFT. Sanctioning Russia really greased the skids. With all those dollars you exported since 2008 coming home the buying power of the dollar will drop off a cliff. It’s already started …inflation is taking off … it’s about to go verticle.
you would have more credibility if you learned to spell
America does have its weaknesses, the dollar being propped up by oil is one of them: Collapse oil prices and you tear one one of the core pillars of the American economy. The issue with this is that all the viable opposition also rely on oil prices to balance their books so sustaining low oil prices becomes a game of chicken or just brinksmanship with the world economy.
The second key weakness of America is it’s social faultlines: various groups have sought to divide Americans over the last few years and now a concerted effort to split American society along those faultlines could meet with success. Combine that with a failing dollar and you have a recipe for instability like America has never seen.
I’m sure the experts could apply other forms of pressure and completely undermine America without a bullet or missile being fired.
Unfortunately you are correct.
did Mickey Mouse teach you this stupidity?
You can’t debate anybody. You can only make dimwitted insults devoid of truth and purpose.
You’re such a weakling you cannot risk permitting free speech in an internet chatroom.
Have Mercouris, predicted anything about Israel, oh for give me, I mean Palestine?
From experience, Mercouris has always avoided discussing the subject with all effort!
It’s geostrategically insignificant. That’s why he hasn’t been discussing it.
What you people need to understand is that Germany being defeated in WW2 was actually a very bad thing for the European race. I know many of you were brain washed and indoctrinated to think Germany was really bad and all of that but they were fighting against the world order at that time and knew who the real enemy was.
Right now, Russia is fighting against this world order. If Russia loses then Russia will have African immigration and Russian women will be sleeping with Africans.
The Slavs have their own version of multi-cult: it is called “Russian World” (Russkiy Mir”)
In this version of multi-cult, Russians lead, along with all the various peoples of the former Soviet Union, all the asians (kazakhs, uzbeks, etc) all the caucasians (georgians, chechens etc), so yeah, mixing is okay. As long as you recognize Russia’s leading role.
One of Putin’s master strategists, Vladimir Surkov for example, is half chechen, half jew. Shoigu is also non-russian. Putin is surrounded with jews- and asians.
do you have a point racist?
Liar,you are in no position to troll about anything,you are simply pathedic,wasted self defeated!
It’s first and foremost neolibs not neocons. No Democrat voted against the $40 billions. 57 conservatives did. American conservatives today are way less bellicose than the libs.
Only 57 conservatives voted against them. Its NOT good enough!
Alexander is gud but don’t you forget muh nigga Brian Berletic of The New Atlas. Watch his shit. It gud he be telling it like it is. Ukraine is losing this war.
https://www.youtube.com/c/TheNewAtlas
Very intelligent analyst,unlike that assflogged iq of its shoesize dumbass piece of sodomised shit.
“The American empire is being defeated; Asia will lead the future.”
No it won’t. The Chinese are busy destroying their own economy with “zero covid policy” lockdown craziness, and India, well, India is still a Third world country. Not to mention that India and China can attack each other at any point, they came dangerously close last year
Turkey will never become Russia’s ally. Turkey wants to export its products to the West, where the big markets are. Russia’s GDP is expected to shrink 15% this year .- not many opportunities here.
China will probably attack Taiwan at some point in the next few years. When there are troubles at home, politicians find a foreign scapegoat. China has been planning the invasion of Taiwan since decades: they have detailed plans for the whole invasion. It will likely create another domino-effect similar to Russia’s case, (losing western companies, ending SWIFT, etc). Also, china is an officially marxist dictatorship, with state-enforced atheism, making them the bad guys by default.
What kind of analysis do you do? Checking the produce aisle at the grocery store or maybe some kind of astrology?
The American bioweapons are specifically targeting the Han Chinese, which is most of them. You think Chinese people may have had especially lethal and virulent strains unleashed on them or that the strains may have been specifically targeting them?
In the UK and US, the lockdowns were overkill and bad policy but was that the case for China? In Wuhan, they got rid of the new lurgy within eighty days. We spent more than three months filled with restrictions in the UK, with new lockdowns, more rules, stricter rules, easing up and with all of the country affected. .
Our covid was not really bad, the young & healthy should have been allowed out but kept away from the elderly and susceptible. In that way, the young would have all had covid and become immune naturally. This would have protected the more suceptible and elderly.
China has excellent medical treatments and has their traditional medicine being used alongside the Western types.
moron amerikanhillbilly….in May 2022 Russia increased its reserves by 13 billion euros..u cretins are 20 trillion $ in debt….Russian export revenue expected to increase 70 + billion euros 2022 from 2021…you moron amerikans are farcical
56ish ruble to the dolla too.
With this pace, we will see soon 56 dollars for ONE ruble…
Begone fake heart,liar,phaedo loving anal flogged demented phoney and false neo-libby gimp,pfft!
The US government has been not just infiltrated by Chinese agents, many of our politicians have been corrupted by them and are selling this country down the drains (our President being one of them). The US is literally bleeding to death by 1000 cuts and the US intelligence apparatus has been turned on the people instead of protecting the country from foreign interference.
Get this lunatic his medication. He just escaped from the Moscow mental institute and Vladimir Putin just hired him as his right hand guy. They both love to psycho babble.
how much CIA sperm did you swallow today?
Your doomed regardless,either way dummy chummy NONE can stop for the reason,try youll die!
Hetero muslim and christian gonna fek you satanic sodomite vile fascist pieces of shit,wait n see!
The trick is to defeat them without triggering nuclear war (or maybe, “tactical nukes” that can be limited to purely military targets – no such thing outside of military islands like Diego etc).
I haven’t followed Mercuris, since his platforms are YouTube & twitter, both of which I avoid.
MoA is not one person, but a team – who they really represent is anyone’s guess.
Alex Mercouris is on Rumble.
America WAS COMPLETELY defeated after China and India hauled away the crime scene (http://www.911research.wtc7.net/wtc/groundzero/cleanup.html)… And Russia stayed silent (https://theduran.com/putin-911-not-inside-job/)!…
And worst of all… Because the American people stayed silent to their own .gov crime again$t them https://wikispooks.com/wiki/9-11…., they DESERVE to L0$E EVERYTHING!…
“the greatest threats to Americas democracy will come from Pope’s” George Washington.
Jesuit Superior General Michael Angelo Tambourini, during a private meeting, in 1720, with the Duke of Brissac, vaunted: “See, my grace, from this room-from this room-I govern not only Paris, but China; not only China, but the whole world. Without anyone knowing how it is managed.” So you see, these men rule not just their Order, but much more besides from their court at Rome.”
-P.D. Stuart, Codeword Barbelon, p. 185-186
Russia has a coastline on the Black Sea, the restrictions allow Turkey to ban all warships, except those with a coastline, then the Nation only has to give Turkey 7 days notice of a warship coming or going. That blocking of the strait would hinder NATO more than it would Russia.
Non will lead the future save a United multipolarity. It is what we hope for in Russia’s victory
Russian sacrifices will save the world from US thugs and historic savages. Putin is one of the greatest Slavic leaders and may the heavens bless him and Russian neighbors.
Elephants take a long time to die! With that said the USA has several issues that have not been discussed even by Mr Mercouris:
Debasing the dollar by excessive money printing. This will lead to inflation
Artificial price suppression of gold and silver, when this blows up the Big Banks involved in this will be destroyed.
Exporting the industrial base to China. How can you be an empire when you don’t produce anything. The Spanish Empire is a good historical example.
Suppression of oil exploration and production in the USA. This leads to high energy prices which cause recessions.
Shutting down coal and nuclear power plants and replacing them with renewables. Australia proved that this leads to power grid instability (brown outs) and higher costs to the end user.
How can be an Empire without producing anything? Answer: Military might and extracting commodities and resources from colonies worldwide, thats why you sustain an Empire, ask the tiny island British Empire who managed to rule over the world on XIX Century (Victorian Era)
I listen to the great political minds of USA… Joseph Nye, Mearsheimer and others; they said USA is great in demographics and statistics wouldnot fall so bad between 2022 and 2050. They predict USA would go from Number 1 to Number 3 in almost every statistic… I strongly disagree with Joseph Nye, Mearsheimer and others USA Political schollars. This is my point of view. The USA tools 1. Soft Power 2. Manipulation of World Market and 3. International Economics World Currency 4. Military might ; well if they arent Number 1 anymore all western world would realize they are going inside a sinking ship so they would abandon ship and pursue a more neutral and take distance from USA; this would meant the fall from the sky of USA. USA military might is the main tool of USA Hegemony, they use Military Might to Persuade and Coerce countries into accept Economic Trade Political Laws the USA dictates to them so if USA fall would fall very bad and will go from Number 1 unto Number 6 at least, a big fall; maybe after the fall they would start to get better (just like the Big Depression of 1929).
I noticed the trolls here are decreasing faster than Ukrainians nazis
To paraphrase:
“The people on this earth want Peace. One day the governments of this world will need to get out of the way and let them have it”.
President General Dwight Eisenhower
Some analysts and authors do not understand that 75% of leading NeoCons are KHAZARS.
USA has suicided like all immoral decayed obsolete empires….the moron amerikants, shallow halfwits cannot comprehend reality. “what seems rational is irrational; what seems irrational is rational ” Hegel
When do you think the reality of Ukraine is gonna hit this one? He seems a little dense and has only been in country two weeks. Bonus that they have to beg people to take up arms by pointing out his peg leg.
https://twitter.com/peglegactual/status/1533863855054520320?s=21&t=u6whiZ99RMLDCTQGy5TYYw
Agree, Mercouris is the best of them all.
War has just begun. Prdicting that Russia is going to win is like predicting Hitler was going to win in 1940. We do not know who is ready to go to what lenghts.
I am also not very happy that Asians are going to take over the world. Especially China. India can’t take over at least for now they don’t have the cultural desire for dominance.
White chess figures should be replaced with black, white-black, rainbow (except blue) and pink colors to please LGBLM+x=. Some figures should be colored blue+yellow to support the clown of Kiev.
To be fair, the US is destroying itself. It has already lost a nose, to spite its face.
When the US empire finally falls, it will be the shortest empire to have existed in history. The system they built for themselves, and foisted on others, just couldn’t take all the abuse.
Its not a US empire, its a global banking oligarchy empire centered around city of London with many tentacles, including US military/Nato as dumb giant.
China relation to that “empire” is unclear to me.
“Alexander Mercouris is a commentator on international affairs whose predictions” are minor league. Speculations with a definitely british flavor.