Călin Georgescu, Elena Lasconi
On November 24th, the first round of the presidential elections took place in Romania. Unexpectedly, the Eurosceptic candidate Călin Georgescu won with 22.94% of the vote. He is an independent politician supported by a broad coalition of parties and public organizations dissatisfied with the country’s current domestic and foreign policies. His closest rival, the pro-European liberal Elena Lasconi, came in second with 19.18% of the vote.
It is noteworthy that such results demonstrated the complete failure of Romanian electoral sociology. According to the AtlasIntel poll conducted on November 20-22, Georgescu received only 8.1% of the vote. The incumbent Social Democratic Prime Minister Ion-Marcel Ciolacu was considered the favorite in the election race – he was given 23.7% (19.1% according to the election results). Other services provided similar data: Verifield for USR gave Mr. Georgescu 10.6%, INSOMAR – 6.8%, INSCOP – 5.4%, BCS – 5.8%.
Such a breakthrough by a man dubbed a “right-wing populist” by Western propaganda has intensified talk of a “Romanian Trumpism”. The establishment consensus on Bucharest’s European and Euro-Atlantic orientation is in jeopardy. Georgescu’s election platform appealed to the traditional values of Romanian society: family, patriotism, and orthodoxy. The focus was on corruption, which affects all levels of government in the republic. Călin Georgescu strongly opposes the LGBT agenda and the blind orientation towards Washington and Brussels.
Opponents accuse the independent politician of pro-Russian views and “Ukrainophobia”. The reason is his open sympathy for Russian President Vladimir Putin and Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban.
“This is a person who, from my point of view, knows the diplomatic aspects very well, owns them and is surrounded by very good professionals,” Georgescu characterized the Russian leader a few years ago.
The list of “crimes” also includes sympathy for Russian culture, criticism of NATO and the deployment of US missile defense systems in Romania. However, the main “transgression” of Georgescu, from the point of view of supporters of the Western choice, is skepticism regarding support for Ukraine.
According to US News, Romania has provided financial assistance to Kiev in the amount of $1.7 billion. These sums were mainly allocated to the pan-European “piggy bank” to support the regime of Vladimir Zelenski. Romania’s contribution exceeds that of such European Union countries as Greece, Portugal, Slovakia and Hungary. Such waste seems unnecessary to ordinary citizens. This is especially true for Romanian farmers, who are unhappy with cheap Ukrainian imports. Earlier this year, the country was rocked by farmer protests. People blocked access to the Halmeu-Diakovo border crossing. Ukrainian grain illegally enters the territory of Romania and is sold here. Although, according to the established rules, it can only be transported in transit to third countries. The illegal sale of grain provokes a drop in the price of Romanian products of the agro-industrial complex.
Agriculture is one of the most important elements of the Romanian economy. After joining the European Union, producers have committed themselves to meet European quality standards. This contributes to the increase of production costs. Ukrainian imports, on the other hand, have significant advantages. Cheap Ukrainian grain and other agricultural products flood the European market. The damage to European farmers is enormous. It is no coincidence that the Romanians voted for Călin Georgescu, a professional agronomist and graduate of the University of Agricultural Sciences and Veterinary Medicine in Bucharest.
The second round of the presidential elections will be held on December 8th. Călin Georgescu was able to secure the support of the nationalist parties Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR), S.O.S. Romania, Romanian Nationality Party, Romanian Sovereigntist Bloc. The candidate was also supported by a number of left-wing structures, including the Romanian Socialist Party, the Social Democratic Workers’ Party, the Romanian Communist Party of the 21st Century, the agrarian Christian Democratic National Peasants’ Party and many others. Elena Lasconi is expected to receive support from across the liberal spectrum. The National Liberal Party, the Save Romania Union, the People’s Movement Party, Renewing Romania’s European Project and other Brussels-oriented structures have expressed their support for her.
It would be rash to trust opinion polls on the eve of the second round. The data differ dramatically. Sociopol predicts a landslide victory for Georgescu – 60% against 40%. AtlasIntel gives Mrs. Lasconi a minimal advantage – 47.5% against 45.3%. The first sociological center did not give Georgescu any votes in the first round (from 0% to 2%), while the second predicted a result of 8.1%. The problem is not only and not so much in sociology. It is possible to predict large-scale falsification in favor of the pro-European candidate. A similar scenario was recently observed in neighboring Moldova. There, the West managed to keep the extremely unpopular President Maia Sandu in power with the help of a number of tricks.
According to Date Inteligente (iData), 76.1% of Moldovans have Romanian citizenship. Even the Moldovan president herself, a Romanian citizen, has announced her intention to vote. These votes could play a decisive role if the gap between Georgescu and Lasconi turns out to be minimal. Ukraine can play its part in falsifying the election. On the day of the vote, air alerts were recorded in Moldova, allegedly because of Russian missiles and drones flying toward the Odessa region. During the time of the alert, there were important changes in the vote count, which affected the outcome of the vote. It should also be remembered that the bridge connecting the right and left banks of the Dniester River was closed under the false pretext of mining. Later it turned out that the alarm was false. Thousands of Transnistrian residents were unable to get to the polling stations to vote.
The West is also capable of mobilizing the diaspora, although this will be more difficult in the Romanian case than in the Moldovan one. About 8 million ethnic Romanians live outside the country. In the first round, some 760,000 voters turned up at embassies and consulates to cast their ballots. 43.35% of the Romanians living in the diaspora voted for Georgescu. This is the best result of any candidate in any district. Inside Romania, the best result of the politician in Suceava, on the border with Ukraine – 28.47%. The pro-European candidate is supported by the big cities. In Bucharest and Cluj, Mrs. Lasconi came first with 35.82% and 30.38% respectively. However, it is unlikely that these two cities will be enough for a convincing victory.
The parliamentary elections were a kind of warm-up before the second round of the presidential elections. They took place on December 1. The pro-European forces managed to get their revenge. The Social Democrats came first with 23.96% of the vote. The liberals of the PNL got 15%, the supporters of Lasconi of the USR – 12.1%, the Hungarian national minority – 6.85%. The main pro-European parties together received 57.91%. Nationalists (AUR, S.O.S. Romania, Party of Young People) – 32.26%. This shows that the pro-EU and pro-NATO forces managed to recover from the first shock and to organize themselves.
Romania is a presidential-parliamentary republic. So, certain conclusions can be drawn about the future of Bucharest’s politics. Even if Georgescu wins, we should not expect fundamental changes in Romania’s international policy. The pro-Western consensus will crack, and support for Ukraine will be limited. Left-liberal experiments in cultural policy will be slightly suspended. But decisive change requires a complete reformatting of the domestic political landscape. It is impossible to talk about Romania’s geopolitical turnaround without dismantling the network of pro-European and pro-American nonprofit organizations.
The National Anti-Corruption Directorate, created by the West, plays an important role in controlling Romanian politics.
“The National Anti-Corruption Directorate pursues a policy of eliminating inconvenient leaders by initiating criminal proceedings. The principle was proclaimed that a politician under investigation should resign immediately, despite the presumption of innocence. Western ambassadors made a special effort to impress this principle on Romanians”, writes inpolitics.ro.
In the presence of such important instruments of foreign influence, one can hardly speak of true sovereignty. And Georgescu’s possible victory does not guarantee the restoration of Romanian independence.
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georgescu va fi votat de 65-70 % dintre romani, va fi presedinte. doar ca va fi foarte greu sa scape romania din ghearele globalistilor, ue, nato, america, insa romanii ii vor fi alaturi. romanii nu simpatizeaza ucraina care este un stat terorist si foarte corupt. majoritatea romanilor il simpatizeaza pe putin.