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This map provides a general look at the current military situation in the area of Tripoli in northern Libya on May 24, 2020. Forces of the Tripoli-based Government of National Accord and pro-Turkish Syrian militants backed up by the Turkish Armed Forces are developing their advance on positions of the Libyan National Army.
Oilprice.com has a good article by its editorial staff with some intelligent analysis on the developments in Libya. The article title is “Turkey Headed For An Unexpected Victory Libya’s Oil War“ May 24, 2020. I recommend reading this article and comment on what you think. Cheers.
The article over-estimates , in my opinion, both the role and will of Russia and UAE, to actually engage in a war with Turkey, We see, daily, how Russia fails to stop Turkish aggression across all of northern Syria. The article states … ” it is difficult to imagine the Russian president allowing a scenario in which it is bested by the Turks. Hence the new shipment of jet fighters that will most definitely target Turkish forces. “. I disagree, Turkey has full NATO support for the invasion and occupation of Libya and has not been restrained in any way by Russia or UAE, let alone engaging in direct combat. The LNA so far has just blustered about no-fly zones, made multiple threats about massive air strikes etc.. but conspicuously failed apart from downing drones (Recce & UCAV). As for the oilfields, the problem is the export revenue all goes to the illegal Sarraj regime which controls the Central Bank of Libya. Thus while LNA might control the Sirt Basin Oil Crescent and regulate the flow, the Tripoli/Misrata gangster regime must first be ousted so that Libya benefits from a resumption of exports. Meantime the Ottomans continue to massively re-inforce and expand their occupation unhindered.
Enemy continues advancing from Ayn Zara sothward, as I posted yesterday : The situation in Tripoli south sector is developing roughly as
predicted. The well planned, and co-ordinated operation to triple
envelop the LNA ground forces continues. LNA has pulled back from all
forward postions north of Yarmouk Camp, abandoning the key Hamza and
Tikbali Camps to avoid encirclement. The enemy is simultaneously
attacking from Ayn Zara district southwards and Ramla eastwards cutting
off LNA forces in Ben Ghashir (and Tripoli Airport) and Wadi Rabi’a
Road. The third main and decisive operation is the envelopment of
Tarhuna via Gharyan eastwards and twin assaults from Qasr Garabuli and
Khoms-Msallatah axes on the north east which, if successful would be a
major, maybe terminal, defeat for the Libyan resistance to the Ottomans .
Yet again, just as in Northern Syria – n. Raqqa, Aleppo, Afrin, n.Idlib
the extent and capability of the Turkish aggression has been
underestimated until it is too late. Make no mistake, the Ottoman Sultan
and the traitor Quisling regime run by Sarraj Effendi the Bey of
Tripoli will progress this war to the full . Not a day passes without
massive expansion and re-inforcements (just like Idlib!) deploying ,
naval, airpower, armor, troops etc.. As a NATO power Turkey knows it is
safe from any serious (real) opposition from outside , no matter the
protestations from Greece or Egypt or whoever. Libya will be left alone
to fight the invader. https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/d7f96ddc498ae1e55f963ef8315062f16facf99222798fdd32aa3c8bf17600d9.jpg