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Written by Lucas Leiroz, member of the BRICS Journalists Association, researcher at the Center for Geostrategic Studies, military expert
The real data of the conflict appears increasingly catastrophic for the Kiev regime. In addition to heavy material losses and the uselessness of Western aid, Ukraine is suffering from a rising death rate on the battlefield. The number of Ukrainians killed and seriously injured in combat is alarming local and Western authorities about the impossibility of Kiev continuing to fight in the long term.
According to data released by the Russian authorities, at least 8,280 Ukrainian soldiers were neutralized during one week on the battlefield. In addition to human casualties, the list of enemy equipment destroyed by the Russians during the fighting “includes at least one US-made Paladin self-propelled 155mm howitzer, as well as almost 30 Western-supplied artillery systems”. Most of the deaths occurred in the unsuccessful Ukrainian attempt to launch an offensive in the Donbass region. The Russians have maintained a slow but safe advance, liberating one or two villages per day and consolidating positions of strategic interest.
On the other hand, Ukraine maintains an irrational tactic of frontal attacks, sending a large number of soldiers at the same time to high-risk areas – where the majority of Ukrainian soldiers die quickly due to the firepower of Russian artillery. Many analysts have called the front-line positions in Donbass as actual “kill zones”, in which Ukrainians are sent to certain death by Russian artillery, without even facing the enemy directly.
Recently, the villages of Novomikhailovka, in the central region of the Donetsk People’s Republic, and Bogdanovka, a strategic town near Chasov Yar, were completely liberated by the Russian Federation’s forces. The Ukrainians, in desperation, launched two major frontal attacks trying to regain territorial control of these cities. The troops, as expected, did not appear to have any preparation or the necessary technical skills to face combat situations with the aim of taking territory. With the majority of its current military being newly trained recruits, Ukrainian attacks have become a kind of “collective suicide”, with inexperienced soldiers going to certain death in operations without any possibility of success. The result in Novomikhailovka and Bogdanovka was no different, with massive destruction of personnel and military equipment, generating irreversible losses for Kiev.
Last week’s figures prove that more than a thousand Ukrainians are neutralized per day in the special military operation. Kiev’s losses are constant and high, while the number of Russian casualties decreases more and more every day, as the positions liberated by Moscow have become safe for the troops. Russia continues with the same strategy adopted in 2022: saving lives and betting, as much as possible, on the use of artillery and advanced military technology to cause damage to the enemy without generating side effects among Russians and civilians.
Unlike the Ukrainians, the Russians have a military strategy focused on avoiding casualties, even if this delays the final result of the special operation. Victory for the Russians is no longer a possibility, but a certainty and a mere matter of time. With few casualties, safe positions and without fear of any reversal in the military scenario, Moscow maintains control of the conflict and promotes gradual advances – giving Kiev time to change its stance and agree to resume negotiations, as long as it is under the peace terms of the winning side.
Ukraine, however, seems willing to continue fighting until its last citizen. Recently, the US approved a billion-dollar aid package for Kiev. At first, pro-Kiev activists celebrated the move, but now even Ukrainian authorities appear skeptical, with some Kiev officials saying in an interview to the Financial Times that American aid is not enough to “stop the Russians.” Obviously, no amount of foreign help will change the final outcome of the conflict for Ukraine. The objective of such assistance is to prolong hostilities and postpone the Russian victory, with a reversal of the military scenario not even being a hope.
Kiev is doing everything it can to keep fighting. Women, teenagers, the elderly and people with health problems are being sent to the front. Foreign mercenaries continue to be hired frequently. European countries are now trying to approve measures to repatriate Ukrainian refugees, in addition to increasingly advanced talks about sending NATO troops to the front lines. The West and its proxy seem willing to do everything possible to ensure that the war continues.
However, the real numbers show that the collapse of the neo-Nazi regime is imminent. Losing more than 8,000 troops per week, Ukraine will not be able to last long on the battlefield.
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hopefully rhis war ends this year
u hit the nail on the head. i wish russia to win this war so that life can carry on and nato be dissolved
not in your dreams. war has not even started yet. this is the beginning of a decades war while geopolitical power continues to move and shift from west to east, expect at least a huge regional war and a possible world war before 2035 according to real projections and statistics.
in the west, it is not understood that the entire brics economic power is on the opposite side. not only russia (whose economy is developing the most in the world). not because of the war economy, but because of oil, gas and natural resources, precautionary amounts are being exported. brics has 2.5 billion people, almost all natural resources, the largest armed forces in the world. how could the west win?
the more the west supports ukraine, the weaker it becomes. and the stronger the brics will be. the warmongers do not want to see this development.
kind of true piipiii. but brics today is just an economical union and countries like brazil, south africa are still controlled by the other side. even china understand their biggest consumers and clients are u.s.a and europe. brics will change over the time and the strategically created entity brics chose one country in every continent or land mass.
look at argentina. every member of brics is one election away from switching teams while everytime a polititian in a country on the western side shows less anti russian sentiment he is canceld by the media as russian spy/ nazi whatever so their side stays stable as long as the dollar is a world currency.
rus, the gutless zio-us approved executioner of 100,000s of fellow slavs.
too scared to take back kiev, odessa and all land east of the dnieper, pres-p prefers turning on kids, women and old folks (but not on us, uk, frn, grm, trk, lth, rmn, pln etc).
this us-zio-nato genocide is playing out perfectly for blackrock, and p will doubtless get a medal before being arrested by the icc.
icc, hahaha the icc deliver justice according to you 🤣. brainwashed bot why you don’t take out the dark veil over your eyes and start looking reality for once.
but i do agree that blackrock a tool of the masters of the hidden empire are very happy delivering death to the colonies.
not according to me, so you can drop the emoji. the icc is just another tool of the west, but so is pres-p.
murika will shake hands with rus when this all ends, when the money runs out, and then arrest p at the first opportunity to parade him before the icc. job done..
reading your comments. i cannot reach the level of your thoughts or see through your mind. so murika and pres-p are the same people according to you?, guess you watched too much western propaganda and your brain is damaged friend. everything is going fine according to usa and also according to russia planning, but usa had the advantage and the high ground and “the hill”, russia are just defending himself against the hidden empire going near them.
hmmm… you must not have seen the video that the missing children were found in germany. so the foundations of the icc have disappeared.
and it ain’t gonna end until murika says so, and on murika’s terms. each week rus has delayed for 2+ yrs new weapons arrive to the now toxic black earth testing ground that once guaranteed food for millions.
everyone involved in prolonging or benefitting from this wholly unnecessary slaughter (law makers, presidents, media, experts, shills) should be banged up together in the basement of zaporozhye npp and the key thrown away.
what a contradiction!. first you said they would give them medals to create the genocide and now you said they all should be banged. head or tails? or you didn’t take your medicine like jens holms or tom sawyer.
let me explain. murika and co will doubtless hand out the medals and accolades, i would simply take everyone involved in this mess and lock them up for life.
i didn’t think it was too complex to figure out.
are your mind so simple? because two people are fighting, both are guilty and involved in this mess? that’s your simplified view on everyone. there exist a thousand layers between the peasants and the royal court, so everyone belongs to the same group but everyone inside pursuits their own agenda and their own goals.
russia goals are to stop the advance of the hidden empire, u.s. a goals are to take over russia so they will grab new resources and enslaving “the slav race ” will bring new blood and energy to the hidden empire. and according to you they both are the same and involved.
look at the goals of the smo; to take back donbass, then demilitarise and denzfy ukr. rf has yet to achieve any of this, and instead stood back for months to give time for us/nato weapons to pour in.
all rf has done is kill slavs for its zio-us master and send azov nzis back to ukr via trky. p will never confront murika, so they are in effect working together to obliterate ukrn conscripts young and old, many rus speaking.
oh, and lvrv just loves the un too.
come on! would you think russia would say the true while u.s.a lied since 1945. russia would not take all of ukraine because of the “gladio”, and the “stay behind” ops, russian enemies would use every diplomatic tool to try to hit them and ukraine is a huge trap to russia that’s why they didn’t take all of ukraine. russia could had taken all ukraine in a week but what they would do next… ukraine is a trap.
those who think like you are too young to remember the vietnam war. or even the iraq war and lessons from it. and the usa lost in korea, laos, cambodia, failed in cuba, somalia, syria, afghanistan, nigeria. no usa determines anything.
it is western propaganda that ukraine fed anything. a ukrainian farmer stated right at the beginning of the war that ukraine can only afford to feed its own. and looked with distaste at truckloads being exported. russia is actually the world’s largest producer. public statistics.
russia lie according to zelensky ‘coke dope’, ukraine just lost 33.000 soldiers since february 2022. one thousand soldiers also are too high, maybe the higher casualties day is when russia advance in the battlefield could reach that number. anyways, this is going according to the planning of both sides. u.s.a vs russia. u.s.a never fight, always send all their lackeys, vassals first aka hidden empire aka western civilization. russia has many things to take care about not just ukraine.
the full picture, the whole projections, statistics and possible outcomes in every scenario. first evaluation in 2027, ukraine war would go till 2030 at least or until u.s.a decide to move out their lackeys and vassals and force ukraine to reach a peaceful solution.
the conflict could have been over in 2023 but rf failed to plan properly (despite 8 yrs of nzi shelling) or push to take kiev and odessa and denzify ukr – as promised. net result = $bns of weapons flooding in, more nato countries and increased warmongering.
rus should (like ussr) strike fear into nato, instead even the useless uk is (along with the fascist baltics) spoiling for a fight like a yapping puppy. but it doesn’t!
what are you talking about? the eu’s economy is in trouble, germany is in a long deficit, unemployment is exploding in every country, tax rates are being raised, companies are fleeing the eu. at the same time, russia and the brics are growing at a tremendous pace. you don’t see the whole picture. ukraine has a point, but the economy is where the war is fought and the west is badly at a loss.
europe is at loss not the usa. read the newspapers 2/3 or german industrie is considering to move to pastures where energy is cheaper. and the usa is sending headunters all over europe to offer those companys great conditions in murrica.
they call it operation paperclip 2.0 in the usa and laugh over europe.
stop killing our cannonfodder reeeeeeeeeee
the president of ukraine zelensky is jewish, the prime minister shmygal is jewish, the head of the president’s office yermak is jewish, the leader of the president’s party in parliament arakhamia is jewish, every oligarch like kolomoisky is jewish and the sbu is a mossad front that hunts down ukrainian orthodox christian slavs to send them to their slaughter, while allowing ukrainian citizens of jewish descent to leave the country legally.
arahamiya is a gruzin (georgian) came with crazy mishiko saakashvili, but previous “president” don pedro was half-jewish by father as well as yermak. they are all puppets of fashington.
and what about all those oligarchs around putin and biden? what about other countries.
sure you are right about ukraine and the ukrainian people should not die for their oligarchs but neither should russians or any people do it.
here is what nazis lost in april: https://imgur.com/iwvjxqh official data of ministry of defense of russia
29550 troops, 57 tanks 169 ifv and apc, 738 cars and trucks, 492 artillery guns and mortars, 88 warehouses (supply depots), 5668 uav and drones of all types.
how to check numbers? do you remember that shoygu’s briefing when he announced 440 thousand losses? several months before it the research team announced close numbers based on obituaries in social networks. next fact is enormous graveyards with endless rows of nazi flags till horizons. you can easily find numerous videos.
you can also find spontaneous memorial in the center of kiev where people put one small flag on the ground in the memory of killed or missed. here is the video of these flags in june 2022 and april 2024. ok.ru/myderznuli/topic/155442248058114
endless mobilization that started even before 2022. if losses are small, no mobilization needed, but it goes on. next argument – “meat index” – number of destroyed heavy units (tanks, ifv, apc) in comparison with killed troops. year ago it was 30, now it’s over 100 troops for 1 armored unit. less armor = more losses.
russia have few times more artillery and shells, aviation and heavy missiles. that’s why nazis already lost 0,5 mln or even more, because rusmod gives guaranteed numbers of ones who out of servise due to death or deep wounds, not including losses after strikes in the rear (hard to count). 1 strike of ballistic missile to barracks = 50-200 up to 300 dead and wounded. there were a lot in first half year.
they are no nazis the banderist galicians who stand behind them to shoot them like the commisarys in the red army did are. normal soldiers in the sowjet and in the ukrainian army just want to not die. if putin wants to end the war tell the galicians that every galician city will be pulverised if they do not stop doing it. and tell the jews that they will give every weapon iran and their allys want to them to hit isreal.
those poor ukrainian conscripts trained by nato are the first to die.
now even “elite” units like krakens and azovites are refusing to follow orders.
this war might last for 12 more years. unwanted eu neets to be mobilized.