Israel Threatens Iran With Military Action If It Closes Red Sea Strait

What is a dead bug strategy?

Saddam had very good Integrated air defence system to the date and the enemies went to great lengths to outsmart them, in the same way they can analyze key military objects and tunnels (thats what they do for more than 20 years) and the key targets. After dominating their airspace there is nothing stopping them from instantly indentifying remaining targets on ground and striking them. They can disable most of the Iranian infrastructure in matter of days in well planned offensive like it happened in Iraq. You obiviously need to study the attack on Iraq how much they outsmarted them. Most of the Iranian missiles are not launch ready and it takes hours to rearm one launcher. With modern tech it is very easy to detect launch location tens of second after the launch.

look, read and write…Iraq had good air defense an was able to shot down dozens of modern US jets…but they lacked of air defense system vs Cruise missile and air to ground…only he had a few SA-13/SA8/9….Iran have a good air defense system vs Tomahawk ( specially Tor M1/2)….and hundred of self made short range missile ( copy of Rapier and Crotale)…take note…US and Israel have launched around 300 cruise missile vs Syria…with no significant damage…USA launched 360 Tomahawk vs Iraq , 180 vs Serbia and 100 vs Libya and made in all cases big damage!…none of them had a ring of modern ADSYtem vs cruise missile like Iran have!

Outsmarted? They used the international inspections to gps every defense location and took them out with cruise missiles. Never let the US of Arrogance into your country.

True. While US was bumbling around to find fake WMD ,to make Jews rich and happy,Iran was carefully preparing for war. I see they have had since 2003 to prepare. Time enough,methinks.

They have had since 1988, end of the Iraqi attack.
The real question is does Iran have the ability of taking out the US com/sat. if so the US would loose big time.

If you are right, I’ll raise that to 20. Just because I want you to be right.

What, what, mmm damn OK.

It doesn’t work as well you think.

No im not thinking that it can solve anything by its own, but there are very specific algorithms for example in ABM defense speeding up decision making by large factors, thats from experts in the field not me. It works way better than we think on very specific problems im not talking about general intelligence but only part of it. There are are 700x improvements in some areas compared to human operators.

Sure, the Phalanx CIWS on US ships is an example of that of thing, and I’m sure they’ve done a lot of work on those kind of identification and engagement algorithms since that come into service in 1980.

On the other hand, what I’ve seen with US tech is that as sophisticated as it seems, it is usually behind the latest adversary countermeasures precisely because of the complexity and the inefficiency of the defence procurement system; also US training standards usually aren’t high enough to get the full potential out of the system. Generally, you can bet on Japan and South Korea being a generation ahead of the US in systems like that, in terms of what is actually in service vs. what is in the lab.

Consider the USS Stark episode in 1987. The Oliver Hazard Perry was a fairly capable frigate. Yet, despite having 5 years to analyse the British experience of Exocets in the Falklands, the radar couldn’t detect two Iraqi Exocets, the crew didn’t take appropriate measures like actually putting their Phalanx on ready mode. That wasn’t because nobody had written software to deal with Exocets; but it hadn’t gotten into service.

US ABM systems like AEGIS are in the same category. The Japanese have the latest version of the system on several of their ships, and are upgrading to a newer one as it becomes available. US ships are not yet receiving either. The US defence industry is pretty inefficient as far as getting the technology out to the people in the field in a reasonable time.

True but in the end AI is like electronic warfare etc. It will depend on the balance of who is better, the attacker with AI or the one with defence. I suppose a Monte Carlo Simulator at the very least will introduce an element of uncertainty so can not be predicted. A bit like the old “fuzzy logic”.

Thankfully i know about false flags,planned”leaks”,dissimulation and secrets.?

Don’t be stupid again. Military always brags with what they don’t even have yet. F15 is a succes fighter jet yet it was made public while hardly operational if at all, to cite one example even a dumb person like you can understand. Second, you have no idea what the so called artificial intelligence really is. No idea.

Yes, I understand the difference between the public talking heads and the Deep State. You aren’t getting what I’m saying. The generals and admirals who have to conduct these operations are vastly less enthusiastic and optimistic about the outcomes than the Brzezinkis who dream them up.

May be possible at least these people are sane, but optimism is way to hell like past shows us.

Fair enough. Always plan for the worst. I’m just saying, there is a big disconnect between the military on the one hand, and the foreign policy and intelligence people on the other, largely because the latter tend to look down upon the former in much the same way Victorian aristocrats looked down upon technical experts as mere ‘mechanicks’. The foreign policy people generate their RAND and Brookings Institute studies, and think they’ve got it all figured out, and then wonder why the generals look at them like they’ve lost their minds.