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“Wir kapitulieren nie” (We will never surrender) – such inscriptions were painted on the walls of German cities during the most critical days of winter-spring 1945. Despite the obviousness of defeat, the ruling elite continued to cling to the phantom hope of “the defeat of the Reds”. This phrase has become fixed in German historical memory as a symbol of desperation against the background of an absolutely unfavorable environment. Approximately the same approach is demonstrated today by the European Commission in its effort to defeat Russia in the confrontation in Ukraine. The United States seems to be withdrawing from the game. Brussels, however, wants to maintain the confrontation at all costs.
Politico reports that the European Commission is working on a plan to seize Russian oil tankers in the Baltic Sea. The goal of the European Union is to weaken the so-called “shadow fleet” of Russia, which allows to maintain economic stability in the conditions of acute geopolitical confrontation. As Bloomberg writes, the revenues of the Russian Federation from the sale of oil and natural gas in January 2025 increased by 17% compared to the same period in 2024. This happened despite the toughest sanctions that the administration of Joseph Biden managed to impose. Over 50% of oil traffic passes through the Baltic Sea.
Brussels plans to seize ships under the pretext of protecting the environment from a possible oil spill. In addition, the Europeans intend to use the Anti-Piracy Act to seize tankers that allegedly threaten critical infrastructure. This refers to unconfirmed allegations that Russian ships have deliberately damaged undersea cables. There is also the option of adopting new national legislation that would establish an updated list of “reliable” insurers. If a shipping company uses an insurance agent deemed “unreliable” by the EU, Estonia or Finland would be able to delay the ship and disrupt the shipment.
These initiatives have already begun to take shape. At the forefront of the attack is Denmark. Danish authorities have announced increased inspections of ships carrying Russian oil. The kingdom’s Maritime Administration will inspect ships that “cannot be considered peaceful.” The criteria for assessing which ships are “peaceful” and which are not will, of course, be determined by the authorities themselves. Previously, Denmark only inspected tankers that entered its ports, which were extremely rare. The epochal nature of this decision is underestimated by outside observers. In fact, Copenhagen is breaking with the 1857 agreements on free passage through the strait.
Looking at the situation in a broader perspective, the European states are trying to level the conquests of the Great Northern War of 1700-1721 and the achievements of Peter the Great. The blockade of the Danish Straits is tantamount to a denunciation of the Montreux Convention on the status of the Bosporus and the Dardanelles. Geographically, Russia is very vulnerable because the European part of the country has a much more developed infrastructure, including port infrastructure. St. Petersburg, Ust-Luga and Primorsk are among the five largest Russian ports. The European bureaucracy does not realize that the imposition of the “continental blockade” seriously approaches a direct armed conflict between Europe and Russia.
The blockade is a casus belli. The fifty-first article of the United Nations Charter establishes the right of a state to individual self-defense. On December 14, 1974, the UN General Assembly adopted Resolution 3314 on the definition of aggression. Article 3 qualifies as an act of aggression “the blockade of the ports or coasts of a State by the armed forces of another State”, “the attack by the armed forces of one State on the naval and air fleets of another State”. In world practice, attempts to disrupt navigation have often become the cause of full-scale war. The Egyptian naval blockade of the Gulf of Aqaba in 1967 gave Israel an excuse to use force. In turn, the Israeli naval blockade of the Gaza Strip played a significant role in the events of October 7, 2023.
“The actions of the North Atlantic Alliance coordinated by the Anglo-Saxons in the Baltic Sea and the Gulf of Finland are attempts to blockade Russia, including with the aim of paralyzing the work of our ports in the Leningrad and Kaliningrad regions. In their desire to weaken Russia, the West also uses terrorist methods. An example of this is the attack on a Russian ship in the Mediterranean and the seizure of the Eagle S by pirates in the Baltic Sea,” said Nikolai Patrushev, Russian presidential aide and chairman of the Maritime Council, in early February.
These words can be seen as a warning to Europe. Moscow has something to respond to aggressive actions.
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The length of the coastline of the Russian Federation exceeds 63 thousand kilometers. If the Russians want, they can paralyze EU shipping along their entire coast. The possibility of coordination between Moscow and Sanaa is also quite realistic. The Yemeni Houthis could theoretically receive Russian anti-ship weapons to attack ships bound for the European Union. For the international community, Russia’s actions would clearly be perceived as retaliation. The EU blockade of the Baltic Sea is a blow not only to Russian exports, but also to strategically important imports of the Global South.
In 2024, oil from Russia accounted for 36% of India’s total oil imports and 1/5 of China’s energy purchases. Neither New Delhi nor Beijing needs an imbalance in the global market for black gold. And this is precisely the result of the European Commission’s reckless and serious actions. It should be noted that the EU restrictions encourage the Russian authorities to develop infrastructure in less developed regions. Another non-obvious result of the crude pressure is the strengthening of cooperation between Russia and Iran. The Russians can make better use of the North-South transport corridor to connect with the Indian consumer. The EU has no influence on this logistical route.
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if the u.s. squawks when russia starts escorting these vessels, remind them of how we handled the barbary pirates. we just love it when countries remind us of our past and then claim that as a right for themselves. #sarcasm
there is no casus belli, give it a rest. europe is screwed with skyrocketing gas prices and unemployment rates. prepare for strategic defense in russia, just as clausewitz suggested, and save the oil for yourselves.
don’t get me wrong, i’d happily blow up these annoying danes and swedes, but to save the lives of our brothers, just let the problem solve itself in europe’s economic winter like the mosquito plague is finished off by ded moros.
not a casus belli… a “casus ramming” i remember uss yorktown in 1986… soviet union rammed the shit out of yankees… and what yankees and nato did? nothing… russia must stop being affraid of nato paper tiger…
its not afraid. their just not children
didn’t remember too hard. it happened in 1988 and both ships were playing bumper boats.
imposing a naval blockade or attacking a country’s merchant shipping has always been treated as an act of war. that is the position in international law and there are many historical precedents. the us went to war with britain in 1812 over the harassment of its merchant shipping. with spain in 1898 over the maine. with germany in 1917 over the lusitania and the u boat campaign. with japan in 1941 over pearl harbour. it very nearly went to war ….
with north korea in 1968 over the seizure of the pueblo spy ship. russian ships have freedom of navigation in the baltic and elsewhere. there should be a presence of russian naval vessels there to discourage any aggression. any interference with russian shipping should be treated as what it is – an act of war leading automatically to kinetic action against the aggressor state.
japan attack us because of us sanctions. the lusitania was a setup to get us involved as was bay of tonkin
good point, even fictitious attacks on shipping have been used as a pretext for war, let alone genuine ones.
note that an analysis of the ships being used to carry russian crude indicated that only a small minority were russian-owned, very few only served the russian market, also they were only marginally older than the median in their class. ironically, although tankers larger than 7 tons have less than ten oil spills per year globally, the risk of their detention encourages(!) the use of older ships.
europeans need to accept their fate. other than north sea energy, they have nothing energy wise. while russia is brimming with oil and natural gas.
if somebody has something you want, be nice to them.
europe deserves to go back to the middle ages with their attitude.
bring back the horse and cart! clip clop, clip clop, man’s best friend. and we can all go out foraging for firewood, like the polish president said. and we can wipe ourselves down with wet rags instead of taking showers and stop washing our clothes, like our eu masters said.t
“la possibilité d’une coordination entre moscou et sanaa est également tout à fait réaliste.” wtf !!
wishful thinking, 1) the houthis will never accept, knowing russian weakness and loyalty, 2) russian weakness to put pressure on is impossible because all they dream of is the west, all the children of russian despots live in the west, children of putin, peskov, lavrov etc, 3) putin is always ready for any agreement
i see usaid has started paying the trolls again….
hahaha good joke but he had a point you should take into account.
kind of agree, russia is ready to accept almost anything but not because they are afraid, or they are despots or anything else. russia is going to accept 1) to stop weakening fighting against tens of european and usa empire vassals. 2) war is not good for anyone. but russia is not stupid, they know that this confrontation just started so they must use diplomacy and have to choose wisely. russia is under pressure but usa empire and eu are not the rulers the world anymore, they are imploding.
the proof #putin called the terrorist joulani, so it’s only the blind who don’t see reality, without forgetting that russia is always with the usa in dirty tricks, 11/09 #putin offered to help bush, in 2001 when they invaded afghanistan #putin lent his territory, 2003, to attack iraq the same, a vassal of the usa.
the usa is not weakening to the point of collapse, they are no longer like before but they still hold the world whether we like it or not, how many experts have predicted the end of us domination before 2020? the usa always decides and no one disobeys, find out about berel lazar, abrahmovic, rotenberg etc
who are your experts? main stream media? lol!. china belt and road started in the late 2000 and russia geopolitik pivot to asia started in 2010. usa empire controls, europe, all americas (pact of domination with institutions like the vatican i.e), and africa which is today the main point of conflict between world powers. usa empire is weakening while china continues rising. japan and south korea will fall in this century or the next, but that will signal the end of usa empire.
pro-russian, pro-putin experts, especially alt media sites. what you write is already written by orwell, putin’s eurasia, oceania etc, nothing new, just something that orwell did not foresee is that all the governments are going to israel
if deep state kill thousands of their own just to start a war on terror in arab and muslims countries to promote israel goals, so be it. the high hierarchy diplomacy consists in always play the ball, russia and putin played the ball all along with usa, even during ussr confrontation in cold war. if you know something and you did not stop or tell is doesn’t mean that you agree because in 09/11 usa empire was the hegemon and russia were reconstructing himself, the worst decade for russia 90’s.
everyone prays at the wailing wall, trump, obama, #putin, the pope, that’s the center of the world. chinese social credit is worse than the west, the moscow metro is biometric, everything works with a qr code, they are all the same
posturing desperation–nato has failed; russia prevails
so?
escort each tanker with an russian warship or sub or much easyer and cheaper, put on each tanker a few dozents spetznaz or pmcs, who shoot on everything what trys to enter the ship.
problem solved.
they may stage some incident, attacking a tanker to cause an oil spillage to attack russian shipping.
sentite dopo 3 anni non riuscite a vincere non usate le armi strategiche, un sacco di morti, la russia occupata è un disastro mi dispiace ma non siete bravi avete stufato mi dispiace per il popolo russo la russia è finita si salvi chi può.
sanna? eh, isn’t that the despair of the few cornered africa, syria, the baltic, azerbaijan and half of the oil installations in flames
the eu leadership has become a bunch of zionist hillbillys on crack. with the great replacement kicking in eu citizens will need the tankers to escape their internment in the eu asylums before they are sent to the eastern front to die for the nwo or some other zionist scheme.
this is to save the zio based bank of england insurance scam. ruling international insurance on the high seas.( which has great power to control what a nation can ship and recieve ) including illegal items such as drugs, gold, weapons and the like. khazarian mafia anyone?
not to disagree with your point, but lloyds of london is not really anything to do with the bank of england. however it is run by the same norman thugs who run everything in the city of london. and yes, the name-stealers (old name for the khazarians) are in it up to their necks.
albrecht/von der lugen would be happy if she can persuade the eu-members to increase the war like incidents in the baltic sea. guess albrecht/von der lugen are jointly working out the details of how to proceed!
with kaja kallas, they are tight as a pair of lovers!
trump would support this in no way. european dwarfs, forget it!
russia has the very prepared and strong baltic fleet… send them to patrol every day and night… ram nato ships if necessary… europe is a chihuahua, russia need to show strenght, more oreshnik strikes, more brinkmanship… russia need to scare us, not europe… europe is powerless without us…
baltic fleet has more than 50 surface vessels, and armed escorting of tankers are pretty reliable… put russian troops on tankers…let´s see if the nordic chihuahuas will have the guts!
if europe will be on the brink with russia always, then russia should show absolute resolution in wipe out europe from the map, making clear it´s only europe, not the us… us won´t come to help europe (that will be destroyed in 15 minutes) some psyops from russian side might help… but i really doubt… putin is very soft!
the russians did occupy paris for a while after they trounced napoleon, but they couldn’t stand the stench and went back to civilization…..
and neurons ? do you any left?russian cheerleader , russia stands the same big big and miserable country as soviet union, the same kind of dictarship and the misery remains
how’d that syrian game plan work out?
trump will lead putin around like a puppy on a leash.
and azerbaijan? armenia? georgia?
that puppy on the leash is exhausted.
and you scoff at the scandinavians? where did the term russ come from? the baltic is a nato lake.
chumpo has just run up the white flag and surrendered to vlad. no more aid or arms for ukraine. “we want our $350 billion back.” no us troops to ukraine. no nato membership for the ukies. chumpo has just dumped ukraine on the eu suckers. you pay for it – send your troops there but don’t come running to uncle sam. good luck with that, suckers.
what did i tell you before. they will double down on aggression, double down. trump will double down for sure. be ready because fireworks are about to start. the thing is western civilization and the empire of exceptionals are imploding, too much propaganda and brainwashed in the human cattle leads to uncreativeness and lack of rational thinking is the main attribute and skill of the westerners, look for the the lack of rational thinking in the west. it’s everywhere.
the fm lodge masters want to destroy civilization and so far they are getting their way. know the real enemy of all people of faith.