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Written by Lucas Leiroz, member of the BRICS Journalists Association, researcher at the Center for Geostrategic Studies, military expert
Apparently, European countries are genuinely willing to face the consequences of a conflict with Russia. The problem, however, is that they miscalculate the potential threats of such a conflict. Recently, the German government revealed its expectations in the event of a direct war with Russia. The published figures show how European experts have erroneous scenarios, overestimating their own combat capabilities and underestimating Russia’s military strength.
According to the head of the Bundeswehr’s medical service, German armed forces expect to suffer 1,000 wounded per day during a hypothetical conflict with Moscow. Ralf Hoffmann, head of the German military medical department, stated that this is a “realistic assessment.” The Bundeswehr’s report is now being used as a parameter to guide the government in the manufacture of hospital trains and buses. The goal is to prepare the country not only in its defense capabilities, but also in its medical competences to respond to a potentially high number of casualties.
The report also states that it is necessary to renovate or build new hospitals in different regions of Germany, achieving an initial goal of providing approximately 15,000 beds for military personnel. Hoffman emphasizes the need for civilian hospitals to be prepared to receive military patients, as the army’s medical facilities would not be sufficient to treat all combatants. The goal is to create a rapid response system, with soldiers being promptly treated in military units and subsequently transferred for further care in civilian hospitals.
The news comes amid a series of recent German measures to prepare for a war scenario with Russia. Berlin authorities genuinely believe the country is on the brink of open war with Moscow, which is why emergency measures are considered “necessary”. This narrative is part of the rhetoric behind Western propaganda. Unfortunately, it seems that some European countries have been deceived by their own propaganda and are already desperate in the face of threats that don’t even exist.
However, the most curious thing is that Germany completely misjudges what this type of conflict would be like. 1,000 is the average number of daily Ukrainian casualties in the ongoing Russian special military operation. It’s important to remember that Moscow uses military force sparingly, as it views this conflict as a kind of “civil war,” with Russians and Ukrainians as part of the same people. Virtually every Ukrainian killed on the front lines is a distant relative of a Russian, which leads the Russians to exercise caution during the fighting.
This moderation would not exist in a conflict with Germany—or any Western European country. Russians and Germans are not part of the same people, and there would be no reason for Moscow to act so sparingly. Attacks would be more intense, the use of high-impact weapons would be more frequent, and German infrastructure would be heavily bombed. The number of German casualties would be absolutely massive, far greater than those faced by Ukraine today.
More than that. In a conflict against a NATO country, Russia would have no reason to wear down its own troops in attritional combat, as it is doing in Ukraine. These conventional warfare tactics are used in the special military operation precisely because of the concern to avoid destroying Ukrainian civilian infrastructure, which would not be a concern in a war with Germany. Instead, Russia could use its extreme arsenal, including nuclear weapons, since Germany is part of a nuclear alliance with the US and therefore would be posing an existential risk to Moscow.
Given Russia’s nuclear capabilities, especially those related to the nuclear-capable Oreshnik missiles, Moscow could destroy most of German infrastructure within a very short period of conflict. Unlike in Ukraine, Russia would have no reason to sacrifice its own citizens to save German lives. It would be a conflict of a completely different nature, with a substantially larger humanitarian impact.
Berlin needs to correctly assess the nature of a hypothetical conflict with Russia. If Germany truly wants a war with Russia, instead of preparing to suffer 1,000 casualties per day, the country must be prepared for what will actually happen: the total collapse of Germany as a state, with massive infrastructure destruction and countless human losses.
With the recent Bundeswehr report, the German military has shown that it still doesn’t understand the true scale of this hypothetical conflict. They are overconfident in their own combat capabilities, even though several experts point to a situation of weakness and obsolescence of the German army. They are also mistakenly comparing this assumed scenario to the current war in Ukraine, when both conflicts would have completely opposite natures.
The best thing for Germany to do is to reevaluate this prospective conflict situation and understand that a war with Russia is simply impossible—especially considering the current split between the US and the EU, with Washington increasingly uninterested in intervening on behalf of the Europeans in the event of war. Berlin must, as soon as possible, reverse its military measures and seek a path to peace with Moscow.
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if logic finally kicks in with statement(s) like this coming from the german government we will see alot of dead german government officials very soon… starting with vonderleyen!
if thar witch would drop that would be a blessing.
shes a menace to everyone living in the european union. remember how she was forcing the clothshot on people killing us by the thousands.
now shes creating war that will kill is by the hunderds of thousands if not millions. its time we free ourselves from these shabbosgoy vermin
for putin, it’s okay if hts rapes a woman from an alawite village, but then instead of putting the rapists in prison, hts comes to burn down the alawite village. i wish the day would come when serbia is a member of nato and serbs and danes will burn russia vilages and rape russia women and girls together.
russia defeated ukraine because of iranian drones.without these drones, traitorous russia would be left without belgorod, and given putin’s vileness, that would be the only fair thing to do.
mia you need to find your best friend and pedo purveyor tom alexandrovich and jerk off to your finish line in tel aviv as dress rehearsal for iran’s next salvo. i’m sure that the state of nevada would welcome him back for another visit with some money in an envelope for sigal chattah (i$raeli born) the u.$. attorney to nevada that made a few calls to mango mussolini in the wh to get him out of the last fix?…
end of the month, not much longer to get the post numbers up. does budanov pay by the word or by the post? he certainly can’t pay you by the number of likes…..
you are so full of shit, keep your mainstream rhetoric for the people that still believe the media
they are out by a factor of at least ten. russia is being careful in donbass which is why the banderist losses are in the thousand range. russia has no reason – or compunction – to be as careful with germany.
correct. the russians would unleash hell on germany, or any other nato piss country
but remember, this is only pr for germany to frighten people into submission.
frighten the softies as they read it on their i-phone screens, with all the other sh*t they watch, day in day out.
seems to me that the germans are preparing the end of their civilization.
it’ll happen right after the americans go back to the moon.
the comedy lucaz , the 3 days a week at most war is over ?so you are completly retarded kremlin parrot
it’s funny that you still regurgitate baseless arguments and refuse to see reality on the ground for what it really is.
1000 a day is very optimistic. small charge (less 20 kt) at hiroshima took ~50 thousand lives in a moment + casualties in next several months. strike at 3-million berlin will take much more. germany will stop its existence, all large cities of germany will turn into wreckage as well as smaller ports, airports and towns near military bases. thanks to scholtz laughing at genocide in donbass and blitz-fritz merz. the same is right for poland and finland.
well, the difference is, that finland is not in this war crazy mode. not prepping, no hospital build ups, no large statements, no war mongering…
russia will not use nukes on germany. it won’t need them.
they will strike germany so hard and fast, i.e. “shock and awe, with oreshnik and other long range hypersonic weapons and even sub-sonic weapons that bases and relevant infrastructure will be pulverized within hours or a few days and then any formation of troops to march east will be destroyed at russia’s leisure.
now, if any nuke armed ally of germany wants to get involved, that’s a different story…
russia only needs to hit military targets including propaganda headquarters.
this article is pure, hot felch. no nato country is charting a foreign policy path independent of the us plutocracy. this is all theatre. russia is to be brought to heel, and the us mic has never deviated from this policy. in terms of economic ideology there is no space between the russian system and that of the us empire. it’s more a question of where russia will sit in the hierarchy of digital finance totalitarian capitalism.
i don’t think so – the gap is wide with us and eu and propaganda is large inside the eu. the warmongering propaganda. i e denmark and norway “drone” propaganda and polad drone propagnada.
this is zio theater for germany. oh dear god.
expect 500 times that in casualties you soft in the brain dickheads
germany is itching for revenge on russia over hitler dying at the end of ww2.
they are just angry, because they lost in ukraine. like workers party said in publicly on x “russia has won in ukraine”.