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Written by Lucas Leiroz, member of the BRICS Journalists Association, researcher at the Center for Geostrategic Studies, military expert
Apparently, European countries are genuinely willing to face the consequences of a conflict with Russia. The problem, however, is that they miscalculate the potential threats of such a conflict. Recently, the German government revealed its expectations in the event of a direct war with Russia. The published figures show how European experts have erroneous scenarios, overestimating their own combat capabilities and underestimating Russia’s military strength.
According to the head of the Bundeswehr’s medical service, German armed forces expect to suffer 1,000 wounded per day during a hypothetical conflict with Moscow. Ralf Hoffmann, head of the German military medical department, stated that this is a “realistic assessment.” The Bundeswehr’s report is now being used as a parameter to guide the government in the manufacture of hospital trains and buses. The goal is to prepare the country not only in its defense capabilities, but also in its medical competences to respond to a potentially high number of casualties.
The report also states that it is necessary to renovate or build new hospitals in different regions of Germany, achieving an initial goal of providing approximately 15,000 beds for military personnel. Hoffman emphasizes the need for civilian hospitals to be prepared to receive military patients, as the army’s medical facilities would not be sufficient to treat all combatants. The goal is to create a rapid response system, with soldiers being promptly treated in military units and subsequently transferred for further care in civilian hospitals.
The news comes amid a series of recent German measures to prepare for a war scenario with Russia. Berlin authorities genuinely believe the country is on the brink of open war with Moscow, which is why emergency measures are considered “necessary”. This narrative is part of the rhetoric behind Western propaganda. Unfortunately, it seems that some European countries have been deceived by their own propaganda and are already desperate in the face of threats that don’t even exist.
However, the most curious thing is that Germany completely misjudges what this type of conflict would be like. 1,000 is the average number of daily Ukrainian casualties in the ongoing Russian special military operation. It’s important to remember that Moscow uses military force sparingly, as it views this conflict as a kind of “civil war,” with Russians and Ukrainians as part of the same people. Virtually every Ukrainian killed on the front lines is a distant relative of a Russian, which leads the Russians to exercise caution during the fighting.
This moderation would not exist in a conflict with Germany—or any Western European country. Russians and Germans are not part of the same people, and there would be no reason for Moscow to act so sparingly. Attacks would be more intense, the use of high-impact weapons would be more frequent, and German infrastructure would be heavily bombed. The number of German casualties would be absolutely massive, far greater than those faced by Ukraine today.
More than that. In a conflict against a NATO country, Russia would have no reason to wear down its own troops in attritional combat, as it is doing in Ukraine. These conventional warfare tactics are used in the special military operation precisely because of the concern to avoid destroying Ukrainian civilian infrastructure, which would not be a concern in a war with Germany. Instead, Russia could use its extreme arsenal, including nuclear weapons, since Germany is part of a nuclear alliance with the US and therefore would be posing an existential risk to Moscow.
Given Russia’s nuclear capabilities, especially those related to the nuclear-capable Oreshnik missiles, Moscow could destroy most of German infrastructure within a very short period of conflict. Unlike in Ukraine, Russia would have no reason to sacrifice its own citizens to save German lives. It would be a conflict of a completely different nature, with a substantially larger humanitarian impact.
Berlin needs to correctly assess the nature of a hypothetical conflict with Russia. If Germany truly wants a war with Russia, instead of preparing to suffer 1,000 casualties per day, the country must be prepared for what will actually happen: the total collapse of Germany as a state, with massive infrastructure destruction and countless human losses.
With the recent Bundeswehr report, the German military has shown that it still doesn’t understand the true scale of this hypothetical conflict. They are overconfident in their own combat capabilities, even though several experts point to a situation of weakness and obsolescence of the German army. They are also mistakenly comparing this assumed scenario to the current war in Ukraine, when both conflicts would have completely opposite natures.
The best thing for Germany to do is to reevaluate this prospective conflict situation and understand that a war with Russia is simply impossible—especially considering the current split between the US and the EU, with Washington increasingly uninterested in intervening on behalf of the Europeans in the event of war. Berlin must, as soon as possible, reverse its military measures and seek a path to peace with Moscow.
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if logic finally kicks in with statement(s) like this coming from the german government we will see alot of dead german government officials very soon… starting with vonderleyen!
for putin, it’s okay if hts rapes a woman from an alawite village, but then instead of putting the rapists in prison, hts comes to burn down the alawite village. i wish the day would come when serbia is a member of nato and serbs and danes will burn russia vilages and rape russia women and girls together.
russia defeated ukraine because of iranian drones.without these drones, traitorous russia would be left without belgorod, and given putin’s vileness, that would be the only fair thing to do.
mia you need to find your best friend and pedo purveyor tom alexandrovich and jerk off to your finish line in tel aviv as dress rehearsal for iran’s next salvo. i’m sure that the state of nevada would welcome him back for another visit with some money in an envelope for sigal chattah (i$raeli born) the u.$. attorney to nevada that made a few calls to mango mussolini in the wh to get him out of the last fix?…
end of the month, not much longer to get the post numbers up. does budanov pay by the word or by the post? he certainly can’t pay you by the number of likes…..
they are out by a factor of at least ten. russia is being careful in donbass which is why the banderist losses are in the thousand range. russia has no reason – or compunction – to be as careful with germany.
seems to me that the germans are preparing the end of their civilization.