A Closer Look At Azerbaijan And Armenia’s Claims Of Losses By The Adversary

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Ever since the war broke out between Azerbaijan and Armenia on September 27^th, both have voiced numerous claims of significant losses being dealt to the enemy forces.

Below is a brief overview of what either side has claimed has been destroyed, against the total numbers of equipment each side has.

As of October 8^th, Azerbaijan has lost the following number of military equipment, as well as soldiers, according to Armenia’s claims:

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According to their claims, 17 warplanes have been downed.

As per Global Firepower’s 2020 report, in total Azerbaijan has 17 fighter jets, as well as 12 dedicated attack warplanes, and 1 transport. In addition, it has 29 trainer aircraft.

It is the attacking side, and it is unlikely that it needs to use trainer aircraft, and it is unlikely that a transport plane was downed, that leaves 17 fighter jets and 12 dedicated attack aircraft to be downed.

That means 29 total, out of them, according to Armenia, 17 have been destroyed, that’s more than 50% of the country’s warplanes, keeping in mind there’s really no evidence that Turkish warplanes are actively taking part and are being downed.

In the same vein, Azerbaijan has 88 helicopters in total, out of them 17 are attack helicopters.

Armenia claims that it has destroyed 16. If these are all attack helicopters, Baku is somehow left with just 1.

If not, nearly 20% of Azerbaijan’s helicopter fleet has been destroyed by Armenia.

Armenia has 145 UAVs, most of which are reportedly Turkish Bayraktar TB2, it is unclear how many Azerbaijan operates, and it is questionable if that man were destroyed.

In terms of ground forces, the situation is also similar. It is unknown how many separate battle tanks and armored vehicles have been destroyed, in total the number sits at 496 allegedly destroyed.

Azerbaijan has 570 battle tanks, 1,451 armored vehicles, 187 self-propelled howitzers, and 227 towed artillery, as well as 162 rocket projectors.

The total sits at 2,435. That means according to Armenia’s claims, a total of 20% of Azerbaijan’s ground power has been destroyed.

The deaths allegedly sit at 4,069, which is 1% out of Azerbaijan’s nearly 430,000 military personnel.

Finally – TOS-1, Armenia has allegedly destroyed 4, Azerbaijan has 36 in total, meaning it’s left with 32

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Now, to look at Azerbaijan’s claims.

Azerbaijan, as of October 7^th, has reportedly destroyed the following:

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• up to 250 tanks and other armored vehicles (this number allegedly includes nearly 42 T-72 battle tanks);
• up to 270 artillery pieces, multiple launch rocket systems, and mortars;
• up to 60 Air Defense means;
• 11 command-control and command-observation posts;
• 8 ammunition depots;
• up to 150 vehicles;
• 1 S-300 anti-aircraft missile system.

After this summary, another report was published claiming that Azerbaijan strikes destroyed up to ten battle tanks, six D-20 guns-howitzer, one self-propelled artillery “Akatsia”, up to thirty vehicles, and a large number of enemy manpower were destroyed.

Additionally, Azerbaijan claims that it has captured dozens of tanks and other vehicles and artillery.

It hasn’t disclosed how many soldiers it has allegedly killed, but likely in the thousands.

Armenia has 110 battle tanks in total, Azerbaijan reportedly destroyed 42 of them (and up to ten more destroyed allegedly later on October 7^th), and captured some more, meaning that upwards 50% of Yerevan’s tank force is allegedly gone.

With the number of tanks allegedly destroyed removed, Azerbaijan claims it has also destroyed approximately 210 more armored vehicles were destroyed.

Armenia’s total sits at 748, which means that at least 1/3^rd of Yerevan’s ground vehicles were allegedly destroyed, when one adds the captured ones as well.

The total number of self-propelled howitzers Armenia has is 38, towed artillery sits at 150, and 68 rocket projectors. The total is thus 256.

According to Azerbaijan’s report it has destroyed approximately 270 pieces, and destroyed 6 more D-20 howitzers, an Akatsiya self-propelled howitzers and more following the report.

Meaning that, not only is Armenia’s artillery allegedly entirely destroyed, but Azerbaijan also, somehow, found more artillery to destroy.

The destruction of the S-300 is also quite questionable, and it is likely to serve as a sort of deterrent to Russia providing any tangible assistance to Armenia, since it would be unfavorable for Azerbaijan and Turkey, since it is unlikely that the upper hand can be achieved if Moscow were to step in and assist Yerevan.

MORE ON THE TOPIC:

• Armenia Claims It’s Pushing Back Azerbaijan’s Forces, One Soldier Allegedly Destroyed 5 Battle Tanks
• Turkish F-16 Fighter Jets Spotted In Azerbaijani Airport