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Written by Lucas Leiroz, journalist, researcher at the Center for Geostrategic Studies, geopolitical consultant
Ukrainian air defense has almost collapsed. Kiev’s officials already admit the country’s failure to effectively continue confronting Russia in the air. Given the intense use of missiles and drones by the Russians and the constant decrease in Western aid, Ukraine has exhausted its resources and no longer has the ability to protect itself from enemy strikes.
The country’s situation was admitted by the official spokesman of the Ukrainian Air Force, Yury Ignat. According to him, Kiev’s air defense arsenal has been depleted and there are no longer appropriate conditions to continue fighting for long, which is why he urges Western countries to keep on sending equipment to Ukraine. Ignat believes that the Russian armed forces have further increased the frequency and intensity of their air strikes, with Ukraine needing to replenish its arsenal so as not to be vulnerable to Moscow’s incursions.
“Intense Russian air attacks force us to use a corresponding amount of air defense means (…) That’s why we need more of them, as Russia keeps increasing its attack capabilities”, he said.
Ignat added that Kiev is currently relying exclusively on Western air defense systems and old Soviet equipment, as the country is unable to produce weapons at adequate levels. This is due to the fact that the Russians are launching massive high-precision strikes against Ukrainian industrial targets, seeking to neutralize Kiev’s ability to restore arms production. In this scenario, neo-Nazi forces begin to depend on foreign equipment or old and inefficient Soviet-era weapons, becoming even weaker in the conflict.
To avoid a quick defeat, Kiev would need to receive many Western weapons in order to immediately rebuild its air defense arsenal. Foreign Minister Dmitry Kuleba believes that for this it is necessary to receive missiles for the Patriot, IRIS-T and NASAMS systems as quickly as possible.
“First and foremost, we expect the meeting to expedite critical decisions on further strengthening Ukraine’s air defense capabilities, both in terms of modern systems and their ammunition (…) [Supplying missiles for Patriot, IRIS-T, and NASAMS systems is a] top priority that must be completed today, not tomorrow”, the minister said.
This lack of ammunition for Ukraine’s air defense is nothing new. Since the first months of 2023, the media has already shown that Kiev is struggling to continue using its air defense systems, with the lack of missiles having already become one of the main obstacles for Ukraine in the conflict. In May, Western newspapers even stated that the total depletion of Ukrainian air defense ammunition would happen in a matter of a few days – which shows how the situation may be even more worrying now.
“[…] Officials said the continuing need to defend against Russian missile and drone attacks had systematically depleted Ukraine’s stockpiles — a warning backed up by US intelligence documents leaked online this spring that suggested Kyiv might run out of ammunition for five critical air defence systems. According to documents reviewed by the Financial Times, the US assessed in late February that Ukraine’s ability to protect its troops on the front lines would be ‘completely reduced’ by May 23”, a May 2023 Financial Times’ article reads.
At the time, Kiev managed to gain additional aid from the West to continue fighting, but the situation has gotten much worse since then. The Russians intensified their attacks, also reaching facilities where many of the Western weapons were stored. In practice, Moscow’s strategy of maintaining a high-intensity conflict caused irreversible damage to the structure of the enemy troops, forcing Kiev to rapidly exhaust its defense arsenal.
There is an even bigger problem now for Ukraine, however. The West does not seem able to continue spending large amounts of money on useless support for Kiev. The war in Israel has changed the focus of attention of Western elites. In the same sense, Biden was unsuccessful in approving his billion-dollar aid plan for Ukraine and the EU had a similar project vetoed by Hungary.
The difficulty in approving new aid packages has no chance of being resolved soon. The matter is expected to be discussed over the next few months, during which Kiev will continue to need adequate air defense, being vulnerable to Russian attacks. All of this makes Kiev even closer to defeat, with no possibility of reversing the military scenario.
Indeed, it is impossible to win a conflict without maintaining control of the air. The winning side in a contemporary war is the one most efficient in protecting its territory from air attacks and most successful in launching missile and drone attacks. In this case, the Russians have an absolute advantage, as admitted by Ukrainian authorities themselves.
It only remains to be seen whether awareness of its own failure will be enough to make Kiev agree to negotiate peace.
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“as the country is unable to produce weapons at adequate levels.”
according to kievs own ridiculous propaganda, i thought they had a 99% success rate against russia, including countering hypersonic weapons.
what happened groveling, drugged kiev buffoons? another please send us more western shit armaments for free moment? imagine the shock of sf readers as the self destruction of nazified kiev continues, pathetic…
kuleba came out the other day and announced, the only reason we haven’t kicked all the russkie speakers out yet is because the technical manuals for all that garbage they sent us weren’t in ukrainian. also, half our trench rats can’t read ukrainian too well, but i won’t mention that.
still, russians are getting shot down.
it woupd be foolish to say that they weren’t being shot down too, but not nearly as much as ukrainians. what was it, another 5 planes in a single day earlier this week?
if the attack on us bases in iraq and syria continues and the attack on israel too, they will need more anti-aircraft munitions and therefore even less to give to ukraine and that is a good thing for russia
after laest night’s gan-gbang, mai waif also in critical candition, to mani dieks inside haer
sick bastard.. three litres of whiskey to forget ur sick danish garbage…
that was his clone but it was one hell of an imitation. he’s even got his grammar down pat. lol
see guys and girls? this is that “winning” that kiev has been doing lol!
article could have been titled “kiev:set to od on lack of ad?”
$$$…?
ukraine needs a leader who has the guts to call it quits and try to negotiate some settlement with the russians. its far too late for those already needlessly killed but at least further bloodshed would be avoided.
richi supchak came all the way to kiev to give zeldillsky a nice pat on the head and a few pounds in his pocket. how can ukraine lose?
but winning the war is only one issue. equally important is to defeat the imperial media construct that will be crafted to explain away its defeat (it lost in south vietnam, for instance, because it didn’t use enough force, also that the south vietnamese people didn’t have sufficient will to win, so there). otherwise western media will create a fable that through repetition will become the standard – a fable intended to justify the west starting another such war.
some wars are not meant to be won, but are money makers for the bankers. examples: vietnam and afghanistan. we have to understand it is just business and these wars are planned many years in advance…….
nudelman and company only spent 5 billion to do a coup in kiev and take over ukraine and then spent another 100 billion just to lose it. gotta wonder about those neocons. and to think they want to run the world’s economy.
what, ukraine ran out of pickle jars already?