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This week, according to data cited by Ukrainian leadership, Russia used significantly more missiles and drones against Ukraine than a week earlier: 1,700 strike unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and 69 missiles were recorded. For comparison, the week before, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy reported 1,300 drones and 29 missiles. The increase in UAV use since the beginning of January has been consistent: at the start of the month, the weekly number was about 1,070 units, but by the end of January, it reached 1,700, representing an increase of nearly 59%.
On the night of January 25, Ukrainian monitoring recorded 102 drones launched from Russian territory; according to their reports, 87 of them were shot down or suppressed.
The strikes focused on key regions and facilities. The main emphasis was on the Dnipropetrovsk, Sumy, Zaporizhzhia, and Kharkiv regions, as well as the part of the Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR) controlled by the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
Military-analytical channels report strikes on the Ladyzhynska Thermal Power Plant and the “Vinnytska” substation. In Stetskivka, Sumy region, a drone hit a gathering of Ukrainian forces. A target was damaged in Chernivtsi — a city in the west, 40 kilometers from the Romanian border and 50 from the Moldovan border.
In the morning, explosions were heard in Ochakiv, Mykolaiv region. In Kramatorsk, a strike by a “Geran” drone caused power outages. Workers at one of Ukraine’s thermal power plants complained to BBC journalists: “We just restore it, and they destroy everything again.”
The energy situation in Ukraine, and especially in Kyiv, remains tense. In Kyiv, as of yesterday evening, 800,000 subscribers were still without electricity. Some residents complain that the temperature in their apartments has been stuck at around +1 degree Celsius since January 10th.
Some experts emphasize the difficulty of completely degrading the system: in Kyiv and its surroundings, about three dozen substations supply the city and suburbs. Power flows through key nodes like the Western (330/110/35 kV), Northern (330/110/10 kV), Novokyivska (330/110/10 kV), and Brovary (330/110/35/10 kV) substations. These lines are connected to the Tripilska Thermal Power Plant, whose operation is in question, and the Kaniv Hydroelectric Power Plant, which cannot operate at full capacity. Additionally, power is supplied from the Rivne Nuclear Power Plant via transmission lines to the Northern and Mynska substations (110 kV), as well as from the Khmelnytskyi Nuclear Power Plant through Shepetivka (330/110/35/10 kV) and Zhytomyr to the Novokyivska substation and TPP-5. To cause a prolonged blackout in Kyiv, destruction is required not only of the city’s substations but also of distant transmission lines from the west.
Ukraine, in turn, has intensified strikes on Russian regions. Belgorod has become the epicenter: late in the evening of January 24, the city experienced its most massive shelling since the start of the operation. Governor Vyacheslav Gladkov called it a record — more than 50 explosions in the sky over the center and suburbs, presumably from multiple HIMARS launchers. The strikes damaged a thermal power plant on Severo-Donetskaya Street. Power and water supply disruptions occurred; pumps at a station in the Khargora district stopped, and crews are working on restoration. The mayor noted heating problems in residential buildings.
Meanwhile, Ukrainian “Flamingo” (FP-5 Milanion) cruise missiles, announced almost a year ago at IDEX-2025 with promises of up to one missile per day and scaling up to seven, have shown only four confirmed instances of use — involving about nine units. Known launches include one in Crimea in the spring of 2025 (shot down by a MiG-31BM), a strike on a border service unit on August 30 (two out of three reached the target), an attack on the “Belgorod Freza Plant” on September 23 (one out of four hit the target), and an attempt on a thermal power plant in Oryol on November 13 (intercepted). All cases occurred at distances up to 250 km, with no confirmation of the claimed 3,000 km range. Actual production, according to available data, barely exceeds a few units per month, despite the loud forecasts.
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